MLB pitcher strikeout

Tyler Glasnow

vs Milwaukee Brewers2026-10-15DraftKingsRHP

Projection

6.6

Ensemble: 7.4

Market line

5.5

DraftKings

Model edge

+1.1

Over 5.5

80% (8/10)· 1O streak

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this pitcher's projection, market line, and model edge.

Recommendation

Over 5.5

DraftKings

Confidence

A+

100/100

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this pitcher's recommendation and confidence grade.

Pitcher K%

35.3%

Whiff%

36%

CSW%

34.5%

WHIP

0.94

Avg IP

Avg pitches

80.9

Last 5 avg Ks

7.8

Games logged

Matchup K%

34.4%

Platoon K%

33.2%

Team chase

27.4%

Recent chase

N/A

Recent contact

N/A

Recent K% (7d)

N/A

Opp K% vs RHP

21.9%

Opp K% vs LHP

21.8%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see matchup-specific stats.

Prop performance terminal

STRIKEOUT RESULTS

Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.

Situation:

Market line

5.5

DraftKings

Model projection

6.6

Expected strikeouts

Hit rate

80%

8 of 10 overs

Average Ks

7.1

Selected starts

Average margin

+1.6

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

80% (8/10)· 1O streak

Strikeout Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

5.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 5.5Model 6.6

Oct 15

vs MIL

OVER

Strikeouts

+0.5

Oct 7

@ ATL

UNDER

Strikeouts

-0.5

Sep 24

vs SD

OVER

Strikeouts

+5.5

Sep 18

vs SF

OVER

Strikeouts

+4.5

Sep 12

@ MIA

OVER

Strikeouts

+1.5

Prop performance terminal

TOTAL OUTS RESULTS

Historical total outs recorded performance against the selected market line.

Select stat

Situation:

Market line

14.5

FanDuel

Model projection

16.2

Expected outs recorded

Hit rate

60%

6 of 10 overs

Average Outs

15.0

Selected starts

Average margin

+0.5

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

60% (6/10)· 2U streak

Total Outs Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

14.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 14.5Model 16.2

Oct 15

vs MIL

UNDER

Outs

-1.5

Oct 7

@ ATL

UNDER

Outs

-0.5

Sep 24

vs SD

OVER

Outs

+4.5

Sep 18

vs SF

OVER

Outs

+3.5

Sep 12

@ MIA

UNDER

Outs

-2.5

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see projection history vs. results.

Analytics

Career vs. Milwaukee Brewers

No prior starts found against Milwaukee Brewers.

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see career history vs. today's opponent.

Analytics

Sportsbook Lines

Book	Line	Over odds	Under odds	Over edge	Under edge	Signal
DraftKings	5.5	-150	+118	+1.1	-1.1	Best Over
FanDuel	5.5	-164	+128	+1.1	-1.1	—

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see sportsbook lines and edges.

Analytics

Strikeout Ladder

4+ Ks

91.4%

5+ Ks

80.1%

6+ Ks

64.3%Line

7+ Ks

46.2%

8+ Ks

29.8%

9+ Ks

16.9%

10+ Ks

7.6%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this pitcher's strikeout ladder.

Analytics

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo
4-Seam Fastball	40.7%	21.3%	31.4%	95.7
Knuckle Curve	21.5%	55.8%	37.3%	81.2
Slider	19.6%	37.3%	36.8%	90.4
Sinker	16.9%	23.5%	11.1%	95.8

Analytics

Two-Strike Execution

2-Strike PAs

K per 2-Strike PA

58.6%

2-Strike Foul%

16.5%

2-Strike Contact%

55.6%

Expected Ks

K Luck

Count	Occurrences	K%	Ball in play / walk%
0-2	28	75%	25%
1-2	28	71.4%	28.6%
2-2	32	53.1%	46.9%
3-2 (full)	23	34.8%	65.2%

Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — K% by Pitch

Batter	K% vs L	K% vs R	4-Seam Fastball	Knuckle Curve	Slider	Sinker
Jackson ChourioR	20.3%	24.6%	19.3% vs R: 20.5%	6.7% vs R: 6.7%	19.8% vs R: 23.1%	24.7% vs R: 23.4%
Brice TurangL	25.6%	24.6%	19.5% vs R: 22.5%	16.7% vs R: 22.2%	21.6% vs R: 18.8%	19.4% vs R: 21.4%
William ContrerasR	15.8%	14.2%	11% vs R: 11.6%	18.2% vs R: 22.2%	20% vs R: 23%	9.3% vs R: 10.2%
Jake BauersL	23.1%	28.5%	18% vs R: 20.8%	35.3% vs R: 35.3%	27% vs R: 33.3%	16.7% vs R: 14.3%
Christian YelichL	26.2%	27.2%	17.3% vs R: 18.2%	28.6% vs R: 28.6%	32.2% vs R: 34.6%	19% vs R: 16.7%
Garrett MitchellL	28.7%	32%	28.6% vs R: 27.1%	12.5% vs R: 6.7%	26.8% vs R: 23.9%	25.8% vs R: 29.4%
Cooper PrattR	21.4%	16.8%	15.7% vs R: 13.9%	—	13.3% vs R: 16.7%	12.8% vs R: 3.7%
Sal FrelickL	10.2%	9.8%	10% vs R: 9.6%	0% vs R: 0%	13.5% vs R: 14.3%	10.3% vs R: 9.5%
David HamiltonL	27.2%	20.9%	14.3% vs R: 11%	7.1% vs R: 7.1%	22.7% vs R: 17.9%	13% vs R: 14.6%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see the lineup-vs-arsenal matchup breakdown.

Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — Whiff% by Pitch

Batter	4-Seam Fastball	Knuckle Curve	Slider	Sinker
Jackson ChourioR	24.4% vs R: 21.7%	28.6% vs R: 27.3%	31.9% vs R: 30.4%	10% vs R: 11.8%
Brice TurangL	20.7% vs R: 21.7%	12.5% vs R: 15.4%	28.4% vs R: 19.8%	11.1% vs R: 12.4%
William ContrerasR	15.2% vs R: 14.6%	28.6% vs R: 27.3%	26.7% vs R: 28.1%	7.9% vs R: 5.3%
Jake BauersL	18.2% vs R: 18.8%	34.8% vs R: 36.4%	35% vs R: 36.5%	14.2% vs R: 17%
Christian YelichL	22.3% vs R: 23.5%	40% vs R: 40%	44.4% vs R: 44%	14.5% vs R: 22.2%
Garrett MitchellL	25% vs R: 25.7%	27.8% vs R: 23.5%	43.2% vs R: 40.5%	17.9% vs R: 14.9%
Cooper PrattR	14.4% vs R: 10.4%	—	25.3% vs R: 26.2%	16.5% vs R: 14.3%
Sal FrelickL	8.6% vs R: 7.3%	0% vs R: 0%	8.6% vs R: 10.5%	2.7% vs R: 1.7%
David HamiltonL	12.1% vs R: 10.8%	9.1% vs R: 11.1%	35% vs R: 30.8%	12.4% vs R: 13%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see the lineup-vs-arsenal whiff matchup breakdown.

Analytics

Batter vs. Pitcher History

Batter	PA	K	K%	AVG
Christian Yelich	14	7	50%	.071
William Contreras	10	3	30%	.000
Brice Turang	8	1	12.5%	.375
Jackson Chourio	7	3	42.9%	.143
Jake Bauers	7	2	28.6%	.167
Sal Frelick	5	3	60%	.000
Garrett Mitchell	3	1	33.3%	.000

Analytics

Lineup Chase Rate

Batter	Chase rate	Recent chase	Recent K%	Recent contact
Jackson Chourio	33.7%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Brice Turang	26.2%	N/A	N/A	N/A
William Contreras	26.2%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Jake Bauers	23.4%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Christian Yelich	26.1%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Garrett Mitchell	23.3%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cooper Pratt	30.5%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Sal Frelick	28.3%	N/A	N/A	N/A
David Hamilton	28.7%	N/A	N/A	N/A

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see batter-vs-pitcher history and lineup chase rate.

Analytics

Projection History

Date	Opponent	Projected	Actual
2026-08-25	Atlanta Braves	7.4	7
2026-08-30	Detroit Tigers	8.1	6
2026-09-05	Washington Nationals	6.59	8
2026-09-12	Miami Marlins	6.43	7
2026-09-18	San Francisco Giants	6.59	10
2026-09-24	San Diego Padres	6.13	11
2026-10-07	Atlanta Braves	5.33	5
2026-10-15	Milwaukee Brewers	6.63	6

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see projection history and model reasoning.

Analytics

Why This Projection?

✓Pitcher K% is 35.3%

✓Whiff rate is 36%

✓CSW rate is 34.5%

!Opponent K% is 22.7%

!Average pitch count is 80.9

✓WHIP is 0.94

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see why this projection was made.

Analytics

Last 10 Starts

Date	Opponent	H/A	IP	Ks	Pitches	WHIP	2-Strike PAs	K/2-Strike%
2026-10-15	Milwaukee Brewers	Home	4.1	6	76	1.11	—	—
2026-10-07	Atlanta Braves	Away	4.2	5	78	1.29	12	41.7%
2026-09-24	San Diego Padres	Home	6.1	11	91	0.95	15	73.3%
2026-09-18	San Francisco Giants	Home	6	10	98	0.96	17	58.8%
2026-09-12	Miami Marlins	Away	4	7	91	0.97	13	53.8%
2026-09-05	Washington Nationals	Home	6	8	96	0.88	13	61.5%
2026-08-30	Detroit Tigers	Away	7	6	85	0.81	13	46.2%
2026-08-25	Atlanta Braves	Away	5	7	89	0.87	14	50%
2026-05-06	Houston Astros	Away	1	2	19	0.83	—	—
2026-04-29	Miami Marlins	Home	5.2	9	92	0.83	—	—