MLB pitcher strikeout
Kevin Gausman
Projection
6.7
Model strikeouts
Market line
5.5
DraftKings
Model edge
+1.2
Over 5.5
Recommendation
Over 5.5
DraftKings
Confidence
A+
93/100
Pitcher K%
24.8%
Whiff%
28.1%
CSW%
29.6%
WHIP
1.14
Avg IP
5.4
Avg pitches
94
Last 5 avg Ks
6.0
Games logged
20
Matchup K%
18.9%
Platoon K%
23.6%
Team chase
30.9%
Recent chase
38.4%
Recent contact
80.5%
Prop performance terminal
STRIKEOUT RESULTS
Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.
Market line
5.5
DraftKings
Model projection
6.7
Expected strikeouts
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10 overs
Average Ks
6.3
Selected starts
Average margin
+0.8
Vs selected line
Current streak
3
OVER
Interactive line simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
5.5
Over
6
Under
4
Push
0
Jul 12
San Diego Padres
Strikeouts
8
+2.5
Jul 6
San Francisco Giants
Strikeouts
8
+2.5
Jun 30
New York Mets
Strikeouts
7
+1.5
Jun 25
Texas Rangers
Strikeouts
4
-1.5
Jun 19
Chicago Cubs
Strikeouts
3
-2.5
Analytics
Sportsbook Lines
| Book | Line | Over odds | Under odds | Over edge | Under edge | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 5.5 | -102 | -126 | +1.2 | -1.2 | Best Over |
| BetMGM | 5.5 | +105 | -145 | +1.2 | -1.2 | — |
| ESPN BET | 5.5 | +105 | -140 | +1.2 | -1.2 | — |
| Bovada | 5.5 | +100 | -130 | +1.2 | -1.2 | — |
| FanDuel | 5.5 | +102 | -130 | +1.2 | -1.2 | — |
| Caesars | 5.5 | +106 | -- | +1.2 | -1.2 | — |
Analytics
Batter vs. Pitcher History
| Batter | PA | K | K% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cedric Mullins | 21 | 2 | 9.5% |
| Yandy Díaz | 20 | 5 | 25% |
| Junior Caminero | 15 | 3 | 20% |
| Chandler Simpson | 12 | 1 | 8.3% |
| Jonathan Aranda | 11 | 3 | 27.3% |
| Taylor Walls | 11 | 3 | 27.3% |
| Ben Williamson | 5 | 1 | 20% |
| Jonny DeLuca | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Nick Fortes | 2 | 0 | 0% |
Analytics
Lineup Chase Rate
| Batter | Chase rate | Recent chase | Recent K% | Recent contact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yandy Díaz | 28.9% | 35.1% | 11.1% | 92.1% |
| Jonathan Aranda | 27.6% | 32.4% | 19.5% | 84% |
| Junior Caminero | 28% | 27.7% | 20.5% | 82.4% |
| Cedric Mullins | 31.2% | 39.6% | 25% | 65.5% |
| Jonny DeLuca | 35.9% | 53.8% | 30.4% | 76.8% |
| Chandler Simpson | 29.7% | 35.7% | 5.7% | 92.6% |
| Ben Williamson | 31.3% | 50% | 13.6% | 88.4% |
| Taylor Walls | 25.3% | 28.8% | 27.6% | 72.7% |
| Nick Fortes | 40.2% | 42.1% | 21.7% | 69.8% |
Analytics
Projection History
| Date | Opponent | Projected | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | San Diego Padres | 6.7 | 8 |
| 2026-07-21 | Tampa Bay Rays | 6.7 | — |
Analytics
Why This Projection?
Analytics
Last 10 Starts
| Date | Opponent | H/A | IP | Ks | Pitches | WHIP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | San Diego Padres | Away | 6 | 8 | 103 | 1.22 |
| 2026-07-06 | San Francisco Giants | Away | 5.1 | 8 | 92 | 1.22 |
| 2026-06-30 | New York Mets | Home | 6 | 7 | 96 | 1.19 |
| 2026-06-25 | Texas Rangers | Home | 6 | 4 | 99 | 1.19 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chicago Cubs | Away | 2 | 3 | 68 | 1.13 |
| 2026-06-13 | New York Yankees | Home | 7 | 7 | 105 | 1.03 |
| 2026-06-07 | Baltimore Orioles | Home | 5 | 5 | 93 | 1.09 |
| 2026-06-02 | Atlanta Braves | Away | 6 | 8 | 96 | 1.09 |
| 2026-05-27 | Miami Marlins | Home | 5 | 5 | 95 | 1.09 |
| 2026-05-22 | Pittsburgh Pirates | Home | 6.2 | 8 | 94 | 1.05 |