MLB pitcher strikeout

Shawn Armstrong

vs Tampa Bay Rays2026-10-16RHP

Projection

1.5

Model strikeouts

Market line

No line available

Model edge

No qualifying edge

10% (1/10)· 4U streak

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Recommendation

No recommendation

Confidence

80/100

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Pitcher K%

30%

Whiff%

26.7%

CSW%

28.2%

WHIP

0.74

Avg IP

Avg pitches

14.2

Last 5 avg Ks

0.8

Games logged

Matchup K%

N/A

Platoon K%

25.8%

Team chase

32.1%

Recent chase

N/A

Recent contact

N/A

Recent K% (7d)

N/A

Opp K% vs RHP

18.2%

Opp K% vs LHP

15.4%

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Prop performance terminal

STRIKEOUT RESULTS

Historical strikeout performance against the selected market line.

Situation:

Market line

1.5

Selected line

Model projection

1.5

Expected strikeouts

Hit rate

10%

1 of 10 overs

Average Ks

0.7

Selected starts

Average margin

-0.8

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

10% (1/10)· 4U streak

Strikeout Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

1.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 1.5Model 1.5

Oct 19

@ TB

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Oct 18

vs TB

UNDER

Strikeouts

-1.5

Oct 17

vs TB

UNDER

Strikeouts

-0.5

Oct 13

@ TB

UNDER

Strikeouts

-0.5

Oct 8

@ CWS

OVER

Strikeouts

+0.5

Prop performance terminal

TOTAL OUTS RESULTS

Historical total outs recorded performance against the selected market line.

Select stat

Situation:

Market line

2.5

Selected line

Model projection

Expected outs recorded

Hit rate

80%

8 of 10 overs

Average Outs

3.3

Selected starts

Average margin

+0.8

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

80% (8/10)· 5O streak

Total Outs Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

2.5

0.527

Over

Under

Push

Line 2.5

Oct 19

@ TB

OVER

Outs

+0.5

Oct 18

vs TB

OVER

Outs

+1.5

Oct 17

vs TB

OVER

Outs

+0.5

Oct 13

@ TB

OVER

Outs

+2.5

Oct 8

@ CWS

OVER

Outs

+2.5

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Analytics

Career vs. Tampa Bay Rays

No prior starts found against Tampa Bay Rays.

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Analytics

Sportsbook Lines

No sportsbook lines found for this pitcher.

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Analytics

Strikeout Ladder

No ladder projection available for this start yet.

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Analytics

Pitch Arsenal

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo
Sinker	29%	23.1%	0%	93.2
Sweeper	27%	30.8%	33.3%	84
Cutter	22%	6.7%	14.3%	89.4
4-Seam Fastball	22%	7.1%	16.7%	92.8

Analytics

Two-Strike Execution

2-Strike PAs

K per 2-Strike PA

50%

2-Strike Foul%

26.9%

2-Strike Contact%

68.4%

Expected Ks

5.1

K Luck

+0.9

Count	Occurrences	K%	Ball in play / walk%
0-2	5	60%	40%
1-2	8	62.5%	37.5%
2-2	5	40%	60%
3-2 (full)	1	100%	0%

Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — K% by Pitch

Batter	K% vs L	K% vs R	Sinker	Sweeper	Cutter	4-Seam Fastball
Yandy DíazR	11.9%	15.3%	11.9% vs R: 9.7%	3.7% vs R: 2.2%	16.1% vs R: 16.7%	16.8% vs R: 21%
Jonathan ArandaL	27.4%	23.2%	23.6% vs R: 22.6%	17% vs R: 14.3%	26% vs R: 27.8%	17.1% vs R: 15.7%
Chandler SimpsonL	9.9%	6.7%	10.2% vs R: 3.3%	16.3% vs R: 18.8%	9.7% vs R: 9.1%	5.4% vs R: 5.6%
Junior CamineroR	13.8%	20%	16% vs R: 17.5%	22.8% vs R: 23.7%	18.5% vs R: 14.3%	16.7% vs R: 17.3%
Liam HicksL	14.3%	8.7%	9.7% vs R: 5.7%	7% vs R: 0%	2.9% vs R: 3.3%	7.6% vs R: 6.1%
Victor Mesa Jr.L	13.6%	22.4%	26.3% vs R: 36.4%	12.5% vs R: 16.7%	21.4% vs R: 21.4%	17.7% vs R: 17.8%
Jonny DeLucaR	23.2%	19.4%	23.1% vs R: 22.7%	41.5% vs R: 41.2%	12.5% vs R: 16.7%	18.3% vs R: 13.1%
Richie PalaciosL	18.8%	16.7%	19.6% vs R: 16.2%	9.1% vs R: 12.5%	11.5% vs R: 8.3%	17.6% vs R: 16.2%
Taylor WallsS	21.3%	25.8%	7.7% vs R: 5.3%	17.9% vs R: 27.8%	18.5% vs R: 18.2%	22.9% vs R: 22.3%

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Analytics

Lineup vs. Arsenal — Whiff% by Pitch

Batter	Sinker	Sweeper	Cutter	4-Seam Fastball
Yandy DíazR	5.3% vs R: 5.5%	7.7% vs R: 7.5%	10.7% vs R: 11.7%	16.6% vs R: 18.9%
Jonathan ArandaL	7.9% vs R: 2.9%	20.8% vs R: 20%	21.7% vs R: 20.2%	22.1% vs R: 21.8%
Chandler SimpsonL	3.6% vs R: 1.4%	15.7% vs R: 14.3%	11.4% vs R: 10.8%	3.5% vs R: 3.2%
Junior CamineroR	10.1% vs R: 10.2%	31.1% vs R: 32.3%	12.1% vs R: 14.1%	20.4% vs R: 20.6%
Liam HicksL	2.3% vs R: 1.3%	10.9% vs R: 4.5%	8.2% vs R: 5.6%	4.7% vs R: 4.2%
Victor Mesa Jr.L	8.3% vs R: 14.8%	8.3% vs R: 11.8%	17.1% vs R: 18.8%	24.5% vs R: 25.9%
Jonny DeLucaR	10.3% vs R: 8%	32.7% vs R: 34.1%	19.2% vs R: 22.2%	18.9% vs R: 15.2%
Richie PalaciosL	5% vs R: 7.7%	22.5% vs R: 26.5%	11.1% vs R: 7.3%	11.8% vs R: 10.1%
Taylor WallsS	10.7% vs R: 9.7%	19% vs R: 26.7%	13.7% vs R: 17%	17.6% vs R: 19.2%

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Analytics

Batter vs. Pitcher History

Batter	PA	K	K%	AVG
Yandy Díaz	4	2	50%	.000
Jonathan Aranda	2	0	0%	.000
Junior Caminero	2	0	0%	.000
Liam Hicks	2	0	0%	.500
Jonny DeLuca	2	0	0%	.000
Chandler Simpson	1	0	0%	.000
Taylor Walls	1	0	0%	1.000

Analytics

Lineup Chase Rate

Batter	Chase rate	Recent chase	Recent K%	Recent contact
Yandy Díaz	31.9%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Jonathan Aranda	30.6%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Chandler Simpson	31.6%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Junior Caminero	33.2%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Liam Hicks	26.9%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Victor Mesa Jr.	38.2%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Jonny DeLuca	35.8%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Richie Palacios	33.1%	N/A	N/A	N/A
Taylor Walls	27.4%	N/A	N/A	N/A

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Analytics

Projection History

Date	Opponent	Projected	Actual
2026-10-16	Tampa Bay Rays	1.5	0
2026-10-17	Tampa Bay Rays	1	1
2026-10-19	Tampa Bay Rays	0.2	0

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Analytics

Why This Projection?

✓Pitcher K% is 30%

!Whiff rate is 26.7%

!CSW rate is 28.2%

!Opponent K% is 17%

!Average pitch count is 14.2

✓WHIP is 0.74

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Analytics

Last 10 Starts

Date	Opponent	H/A	IP	Ks	Pitches	WHIP	2-Strike PAs	K/2-Strike%
2026-10-19	Tampa Bay Rays	Away	1	0	7	0.23	—	—
2026-10-18	Tampa Bay Rays	Home	1.1	0	13	0.26	1	0%
2026-10-17	Tampa Bay Rays	Home	1	1	13	0.16	1	100%
2026-10-13	Tampa Bay Rays	Away	1.2	1	20	0.19	3	33.3%
2026-10-08	Chicago White Sox	Away	1.2	2	19	0	4	50%
2026-10-07	Chicago White Sox	Away	0.2	1	5	0	1	100%
2026-10-05	Chicago White Sox	Home	1.1	1	16	0	3	33.3%
2026-09-26	Kansas City Royals	Away	1	1	11	1.39	1	100%
2026-09-25	Kansas City Royals	Away	1	0	19	1.43	2	0%
2026-09-23	Boston Red Sox	Away	0.1	0	1	1.44	0	—