NBA game details
MEM
UTAHMonday, October 26 at 9:00 PM ET
Spread
Margin/fair line/market spread/cover probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Play/No Play is a real, backtested straight-up-accuracy signal, not a proven betting edge.
Totals
Model total/fair line/market total/over probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Totals has no Play/No Play gate (a real checklist was tried and came back a null result).
UTAH Offense vs MEM Defense
| Factor | UTAH Offense | MEM Allows | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 53.8%(52.7% L5) | 56.3%(63.5% L5) | 2.5% |
| TOV% | 12.8%(12.3% L5) | 12.8%(11.8% L5) | 0.0% |
| ORB% | 26.1%(27.1% L5) | 29.2%(31.6% L5) | 3.1% |
| FTr | 0.28(0.21 L5) | 0.27(0.28 L5) | 0.01 |
Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.
MEM Offense vs UTAH Defense
| Factor | MEM Offense | UTAH Allows | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 53.5%(52.1% L5) | 57.9%(61.0% L5) | 4.4% |
| TOV% | 12.7%(11.0% L5) | 12.0%(12.3% L5) | 0.7% |
| ORB% | 24.5%(19.7% L5) | 27.0%(24.1% L5) | 2.6% |
| FTr | 0.25(0.17 L5) | 0.29(0.20 L5) | 0.04 |
Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.
Schedule & recent form
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