NBA game details
PHX
OKCMonday, October 26 at 8:00 PM ET
Spread
Margin/fair line/market spread/cover probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Play/No Play is a real, backtested straight-up-accuracy signal, not a proven betting edge.
Totals
Model total/fair line/market total/over probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Totals has no Play/No Play gate (a real checklist was tried and came back a null result).
OKC Offense vs PHX Defense
| Factor | OKC Offense | PHX Allows | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 56.3%(60.4% L5) | 54.3%(52.1% L5) | 2.0% |
| TOV% | 10.8%(11.4% L5) | 13.8%(11.5% L5) | 3.1% |
| ORB% | 22.1%(22.2% L5) | 27.7%(26.9% L5) | 5.6% |
| FTr | 0.26(0.17 L5) | 0.28(0.24 L5) | 0.02 |
Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.
PHX Offense vs OKC Defense
| Factor | PHX Offense | OKC Allows | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 53.8%(52.5% L5) | 52.0%(56.4% L5) | 1.9% |
| TOV% | 12.0%(13.9% L5) | 14.0%(13.0% L5) | 2.0% |
| ORB% | 28.7%(29.2% L5) | 25.5%(24.6% L5) | 3.2% |
| FTr | 0.23(0.26 L5) | 0.25(0.21 L5) | 0.02 |
Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.
Schedule & recent form
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