NBA game details
CHI
BOSMonday, October 26 at 7:30 PM ET
Spread
Margin/fair line/market spread/cover probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Play/No Play is a real, backtested straight-up-accuracy signal, not a proven betting edge.
Totals
Model total/fair line/market total/over probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Totals has no Play/No Play gate (a real checklist was tried and came back a null result).
BOS Offense vs CHI Defense
| Factor | BOS Offense | CHI Allows | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 55.4%(58.7% L5) | 55.4%(54.8% L5) | 0.0% |
| TOV% | 10.5%(12.2% L5) | 10.6%(14.1% L5) | 0.2% |
| ORB% | 29.0%(28.2% L5) | 24.4%(27.7% L5) | 4.7% |
| FTr | 0.21(0.18 L5) | 0.25(0.26 L5) | 0.04 |
Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.
CHI Offense vs BOS Defense
| Factor | CHI Offense | BOS Allows | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 54.7%(52.3% L5) | 52.4%(52.9% L5) | 2.4% |
| TOV% | 12.7%(13.1% L5) | 10.9%(11.8% L5) | 1.8% |
| ORB% | 23.0%(25.2% L5) | 24.1%(23.3% L5) | 1.1% |
| FTr | 0.25(0.26 L5) | 0.25(0.24 L5) | 0.00 |
Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.
Schedule & recent form
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