NBA game details
MIN
CLEMonday, October 26 at 7:00 PM ET
Spread
Margin/fair line/market spread/cover probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Play/No Play is a real, backtested straight-up-accuracy signal, not a proven betting edge.
Totals
Model total/fair line/market total/over probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Totals has no Play/No Play gate (a real checklist was tried and came back a null result).
CLE Offense vs MIN Defense
| Factor | CLE Offense | MIN Allows | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 56.2%(57.5% L5) | 53.1%(56.2% L5) | 3.2% |
| TOV% | 11.7%(12.2% L5) | 12.4%(12.8% L5) | 0.7% |
| ORB% | 26.6%(29.3% L5) | 26.1%(34.3% L5) | 0.5% |
| FTr | 0.27(0.29 L5) | 0.29(0.30 L5) | 0.02 |
Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.
MIN Offense vs CLE Defense
| Factor | MIN Offense | CLE Allows | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 56.0%(59.5% L5) | 54.4%(55.9% L5) | 1.6% |
| TOV% | 12.4%(12.3% L5) | 12.4%(10.2% L5) | 0.0% |
| ORB% | 25.6%(25.4% L5) | 25.4%(22.4% L5) | 0.1% |
| FTr | 0.29(0.28 L5) | 0.27(0.22 L5) | 0.02 |
Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.
Schedule & recent form
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