NBA game details
MEM
SACSunday, October 25 at 9:00 PM ET
Spread
Margin/fair line/market spread/cover probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Play/No Play is a real, backtested straight-up-accuracy signal, not a proven betting edge.
Totals
Model total/fair line/market total/over probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Totals has no Play/No Play gate (a real checklist was tried and came back a null result).
SAC Offense vs MEM Defense
| Factor | SAC Offense | MEM Allows | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 52.6%(55.3% L5) | 56.3%(63.5% L5) | 3.7% |
| TOV% | 12.2%(14.1% L5) | 12.8%(11.8% L5) | 0.7% |
| ORB% | 26.0%(32.6% L5) | 29.2%(31.6% L5) | 3.3% |
| FTr | 0.26(0.28 L5) | 0.27(0.28 L5) | 0.01 |
Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.
MEM Offense vs SAC Defense
| Factor | MEM Offense | SAC Allows | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 53.5%(52.1% L5) | 57.2%(57.4% L5) | 3.8% |
| TOV% | 12.7%(11.0% L5) | 11.8%(12.9% L5) | 0.9% |
| ORB% | 24.5%(19.7% L5) | 26.4%(25.0% L5) | 2.0% |
| FTr | 0.25(0.17 L5) | 0.28(0.25 L5) | 0.02 |
Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.
Schedule & recent form
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