NBA game details
ORL
NYSunday, October 25 at 7:00 PM ET
Spread
Margin/fair line/market spread/cover probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Play/No Play is a real, backtested straight-up-accuracy signal, not a proven betting edge.
Totals
Model total/fair line/market total/over probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Totals has no Play/No Play gate (a real checklist was tried and came back a null result).
NY Offense vs ORL Defense
| Factor | NY Offense | ORL Allows | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 55.7%(58.2% L5) | 54.7%(52.9% L5) | 1.0% |
| TOV% | 11.5%(9.7% L5) | 12.6%(15.2% L5) | 1.1% |
| ORB% | 29.4%(23.8% L5) | 24.2%(20.7% L5) | 5.2% |
| FTr | 0.24(0.23 L5) | 0.29(0.27 L5) | 0.05 |
Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.
ORL Offense vs NY Defense
| Factor | ORL Offense | NY Allows | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 53.2%(53.9% L5) | 54.1%(53.3% L5) | 0.9% |
| TOV% | 12.0%(12.7% L5) | 12.6%(13.9% L5) | 0.7% |
| ORB% | 24.8%(29.2% L5) | 23.3%(27.2% L5) | 1.5% |
| FTr | 0.32(0.34 L5) | 0.27(0.23 L5) | 0.05 |
Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.
Schedule & recent form
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