NBA game details
IND
BKNSunday, October 25 at 6:00 PM ET
Spread
Margin/fair line/market spread/cover probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Play/No Play is a real, backtested straight-up-accuracy signal, not a proven betting edge.
Totals
Model total/fair line/market total/over probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Totals has no Play/No Play gate (a real checklist was tried and came back a null result).
BKN Offense vs IND Defense
| Factor | BKN Offense | IND Allows | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 52.1%(50.4% L5) | 55.7%(53.4% L5) | 3.6% |
| TOV% | 13.6%(9.9% L5) | 11.2%(10.8% L5) | 2.5% |
| ORB% | 23.5%(17.8% L5) | 26.0%(24.3% L5) | 2.5% |
| FTr | 0.28(0.26 L5) | 0.29(0.20 L5) | 0.01 |
Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.
IND Offense vs BKN Defense
| Factor | IND Offense | BKN Allows | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 53.4%(52.5% L5) | 57.3%(62.3% L5) | 3.9% |
| TOV% | 12.2%(14.2% L5) | 12.4%(14.3% L5) | 0.2% |
| ORB% | 21.4%(20.6% L5) | 25.9%(22.7% L5) | 4.5% |
| FTr | 0.25(0.27 L5) | 0.30(0.24 L5) | 0.04 |
Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.
Schedule & recent form
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