NBA game details
SA
DALSaturday, October 24 at 8:00 PM ET
Spread
Margin/fair line/market spread/cover probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Play/No Play is a real, backtested straight-up-accuracy signal, not a proven betting edge.
Totals
Model total/fair line/market total/over probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Totals has no Play/No Play gate (a real checklist was tried and came back a null result).
DAL Offense vs SA Defense
| Factor | DAL Offense | SA Allows | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 52.7%(52.7% L5) | 52.4%(52.6% L5) | 0.3% |
| TOV% | 12.1%(8.1% L5) | 10.9%(8.7% L5) | 1.2% |
| ORB% | 23.1%(25.9% L5) | 22.7%(27.9% L5) | 0.4% |
| FTr | 0.29(0.28 L5) | 0.23(0.21 L5) | 0.06 |
Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.
SA Offense vs DAL Defense
| Factor | SA Offense | DAL Allows | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| eFG% | 55.9%(55.8% L5) | 54.8%(55.5% L5) | 1.1% |
| TOV% | 11.1%(9.3% L5) | 10.9%(10.1% L5) | 0.2% |
| ORB% | 26.1%(27.5% L5) | 25.5%(27.9% L5) | 0.6% |
| FTr | 0.28(0.24 L5) | 0.24(0.27 L5) | 0.04 |
Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.
Schedule & recent form
Unlock the full board
Create a free account to see this game's full spread, totals, and matchup breakdown.
Register Free