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CLECLE

Saturday, October 24 at 7:30 PM ET

Play: CLE ATS
Model marginCLE by 11.9
Fair lineCLE -12.0
Market spreadBKN -9.5 (Hard Rock Bet)
CLE cover prob.92.5%
ChecklistForm ✓

Margin/fair line/market spread/cover probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Play/No Play is a real, backtested straight-up-accuracy signal, not a proven betting edge.

Model total222.2
Fair line222.0
Market total211.5 (Hard Rock Bet)
Over probability70.8%

Model total/fair line/market total/over probability are estimate/display only - no historical NBA odds archive to backtest a real betting edge against. Totals has no Play/No Play gate (a real checklist was tried and came back a null result).

FactorCLE OffenseBKN AllowsEdge
eFG%56.2%(57.5% L5)57.3%(62.3% L5)1.1%
TOV%11.7%(12.2% L5)12.4%(14.3% L5)0.7%
ORB%26.6%(29.3% L5)25.9%(22.7% L5)0.6%
FTr0.27(0.29 L5)0.30(0.24 L5)0.03

Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.

FactorBKN OffenseCLE AllowsEdge
eFG%52.1%(50.4% L5)54.4%(55.9% L5)2.3%
TOV%13.6%(9.9% L5)12.4%(10.2% L5)1.2%
ORB%23.5%(17.8% L5)25.4%(22.4% L5)1.9%
FTr0.28(0.26 L5)0.27(0.22 L5)0.01

Season avg (L5 in parens). Edge is colored toward whichever side the real numbers favor - lower TOV% forced is bad defense, so that factor's edge direction is flipped to match.

Rest days
BKN: 195CLE: 195
Back-to-back
BKN: NoCLE: No
Last 5 win%
BKN: 40%CLE: 80%

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