MLB hitter props

Kevin McGonigle

vs Gavin WilliamsProjected lineup1:40 PM ET

HR probability

12.9%

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Season HR%

2.9%

Park factor

2.8

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

50%

5 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.6

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.1

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	50% (5/10)· 2O streak
H+R+R	1.8	1.5DraftKings	+0.3	—	50% (5/10)· 2O streak
Total Bases	1.4	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 1U streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

66.1%Line

2+ Hits

25.6%

3+ Hits

5.9%

4+ Hits

0.6%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

5.3%

Hard Hit%

35.6%

Exit Velo

88.1 mph

EV90

101.8 mph

Sweet Spot%

34.8%

Fly Ball%

36.8%

xSLG

0.479

ISO

0.139

14.0%

Contact%

84.8%

Bat Speed

69.4 mph

Swing Length

6.91 ft

Platoon HR%

3.4%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Gavin Williams

View Gavin Williams's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Gavin Williams

View Gavin Williams's report →

HR% Allowed

4.8%

Barrel% Allowed

10.9%

Hard Hit% Allowed

45.4%

xSLG Allowed

0.614

Fly Ball% Allowed

27.9%

HR/FB

31.4%

HR/9 (est.)

1.85

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

50% (5/10)· 2O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Sep 4

@ CLE

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

@ CLE

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 2

@ MIN

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

@ MIN

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Aug 31

@ MIN

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Gavin Williams's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Kevin McGonigle's K% vs Pitch
Sweeper	29.7%	41.9%	28.1%	87.9	16.1%
4-Seam Fastball	27.9%	28.6%	27.9%	98.3	11.3%
Curveball	22.1%	32%	23.9%	82.7	7.4%
Sinker	16.7%	16%	10%	97.7	12.5%
Cutter	3.6%	18.5%	25%	92.8	6%

Green = a plus pitch for Gavin Williams (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Kevin McGonigle (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Kevin McGonigle handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Sweeper	29.7%	37.8%	0.207	19%	0.215
4-Seam Fastball	27.9%	40.5%	0.226	42.8%	0.395
Curveball	22.1%	44.2%	0.324	38.9%	0.454
Sinker	16.7%	57.1%	0.538	46.1%	0.443
Cutter	3.6%	54.5%	0.464	27.8%	0.370

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