MLB hitter props

Rafael Flores Jr.

vs Walbert UreñaProjected lineup1:35 PM ET

HR probability

13.3%

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Season HR%

6.7%

Park factor

2.7

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

Selected line

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

40%

4 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.6

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.1

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 2O streak
H+R+R	1.8	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 1O streak
Total Bases	1.5	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

60.9%

2+ Hits

22%

3+ Hits

4.1%

4+ Hits

0.6%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

14.3%

Hard Hit%

44.4%

Exit Velo

89.9 mph

EV90

106 mph

Sweet Spot%

38.1%

Fly Ball%

38.1%

xSLG

0.711

ISO

0.263

29.5%

Contact%

71.3%

Bat Speed

71.9 mph

Swing Length

7.34 ft

Platoon HR%

6.0%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Walbert Ureña

View Walbert Ureña's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Walbert Ureña

View Walbert Ureña's report →

HR% Allowed

1.3%

Barrel% Allowed

4.1%

Hard Hit% Allowed

36.3%

xSLG Allowed

0.416

Fly Ball% Allowed

22.8%

HR/FB

9.1%

HR/9 (est.)

0.50

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

40% (4/10)· 2O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Sep 5

vs LAA

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 3

vs SF

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 2

vs SF

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

vs SF

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 30

@ STL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Walbert Ureña's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Rafael Flores Jr.'s K% vs Pitch
Changeup	33.3%	32.2%	21.9%	90.7	23.8%
Sinker	32%	14.7%	18.8%	98.1	14.3%
4-Seam Fastball	20%	19.6%	12.7%	98	34.3%
Sweeper	14.7%	37.3%	21.2%	87.5	7.7%

Green = a plus pitch for Walbert Ureña (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Rafael Flores Jr. (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Rafael Flores Jr. handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Changeup	33.3%	27.9%	0.261	33.3%	0.283
Sinker	32%	38.4%	0.282	27.3%	0.297
4-Seam Fastball	20%	54.8%	0.411	52.9%	0.245
Sweeper	14.7%	28.6%	0.164	--	0.180

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