MLB hitter props

Chandler Simpson

vs MacKenzie GoreProjected lineup2:35 PM ET

HR probability

6.7%

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Season HR%

0.0%

Park factor

3.2

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

1.1

Expected hits

Hit rate

70%

7 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.2

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.7

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.1	0.5DraftKings	+0.6	—	70% (7/10)· 1U streak
H+R+R	1.7	1.5DraftKings	+0.2	—	70% (7/10)· 1U streak
Total Bases	1.3	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 1U streak
Stolen Bases	0.2	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 5U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

71.8%Line

2+ Hits

32.1%

3+ Hits

9.1%

4+ Hits

1.3%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

0.0%

Hard Hit%

11.0%

Exit Velo

79.6 mph

EV90

95.6 mph

Sweet Spot%

26.1%

Fly Ball%

15.5%

xSLG

0.324

ISO

0.051

6.1%

Contact%

90.7%

Bat Speed

60.3 mph

Swing Length

6.29 ft

Platoon HR%

0.0%

Analytics

Matchup History vs MacKenzie Gore

View MacKenzie Gore's report →

Avg

0.000

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — MacKenzie Gore

View MacKenzie Gore's report →

HR% Allowed

3.1%

Barrel% Allowed

8.1%

Hard Hit% Allowed

40.5%

xSLG Allowed

0.504

Fly Ball% Allowed

26.7%

HR/FB

18.2%

HR/9 (est.)

1.22

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

70% (7/10)· 1U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1.1

Sep 5

@ TEX

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

@ TEX

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 3

@ TEX

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

vs NYM

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 1

vs NYM

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View MacKenzie Gore's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Chandler Simpson's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	49%	22.3%	20.5%	95.2	5.5%
Curveball	15.3%	25.6%	13.3%	81.3	14.3%
Changeup	14.7%	40.9%	31%	86.1	13.5%
Slider	10.8%	31.8%	26.1%	85.5	14.3%
Cutter	5.7%	26.5%	26.7%	89.8	9.7%
Sinker	4.4%	6.1%	23.5%	95.1	12.8%

Green = a plus pitch for MacKenzie Gore (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Chandler Simpson (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Chandler Simpson handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	49%	41.5%	0.333	14.2%	0.349
Curveball	15.3%	45.7%	0.414	14.3%	0.339
Changeup	14.7%	22.9%	0.204	0%	0.214
Slider	10.8%	44%	0.269	18.9%	0.335
Cutter	5.7%	61.1%	0.411	13.3%	0.308
Sinker	4.4%	31.2%	0.317	12.4%	0.353

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