MLB hitter props

Caleb Durbin

vs Kyle BradishProjected lineup1:35 PM ET

HR probability

9.7%

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Season HR%

3.5%

Park factor

3.2

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

40%

4 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.5

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.0

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	40% (4/10)· 2U streak
H+R+R	1.5	1.5DraftKings	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 4U streak
Total Bases	1.0	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 9U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	0.5DraftKings	-0.4	—	10% (1/10)· 1U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

64.9%Line

2+ Hits

25.5%

3+ Hits

5.4%

4+ Hits

0.8%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

3.0%

Hard Hit%

22.6%

Exit Velo

80.3 mph

EV90

99.5 mph

Sweet Spot%

33.6%

Fly Ball%

20.0%

xSLG

0.394

ISO

0.153

13.2%

Contact%

85.0%

Bat Speed

66.6 mph

Swing Length

6.94 ft

Platoon HR%

3.4%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Kyle Bradish

View Kyle Bradish's report →

Avg

0.333

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Kyle Bradish

View Kyle Bradish's report →

HR% Allowed

2.7%

Barrel% Allowed

6.5%

Hard Hit% Allowed

39.7%

xSLG Allowed

0.519

Fly Ball% Allowed

27.6%

HR/FB

14.1%

HR/9 (est.)

1.05

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

40% (4/10)· 2U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Sep 4

@ BAL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 3

@ BAL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

vs SEA

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 1

vs SEA

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 31

vs SEA

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Kyle Bradish's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Caleb Durbin's K% vs Pitch
Sinker	41.2%	10.7%	20.1%	94.8	12.8%
Slider	21.8%	39%	16.5%	88	10.3%
Curveball	20.9%	29.4%	14.7%	85.4	4.5%
4-Seam Fastball	15%	13%	20.7%	94.4	19.7%
Changeup	1.1%	—	0%	90.4	13%

Green = a plus pitch for Kyle Bradish (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Caleb Durbin (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Caleb Durbin handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Sinker	41.2%	41.2%	0.298	28.8%	0.335
Slider	21.8%	28.9%	0.347	12.7%	0.277
Curveball	20.9%	46.7%	0.390	35.3%	0.368
4-Seam Fastball	15%	37.1%	0.395	29.5%	0.340
Changeup	1.1%	--	--	21.2%	0.238

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