MLB hitter props

Hao-Yu Lee

vs Gavin WilliamsProjected lineup1:40 PM ET

HR probability

12.6%

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Season HR%

3.0%

Park factor

2.8

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

50%

5 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.6

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.1

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	50% (5/10)· 1U streak
H+R+R	1.8	0.5DraftKings	+1.3	—	60% (6/10)· 2O streak
Total Bases	1.4	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 4U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 7U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

64.7%Line

2+ Hits

25%

3+ Hits

4+ Hits

0.8%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

7.2%

Hard Hit%

44.9%

Exit Velo

89.9 mph

EV90

104.8 mph

Sweet Spot%

34.8%

Fly Ball%

21.0%

xSLG

0.529

ISO

0.156

22.2%

Contact%

74.8%

Bat Speed

70.1 mph

Swing Length

6.97 ft

Platoon HR%

4.4%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Gavin Williams

View Gavin Williams's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Gavin Williams

View Gavin Williams's report →

HR% Allowed

4.8%

Barrel% Allowed

10.9%

Hard Hit% Allowed

45.4%

xSLG Allowed

0.614

Fly Ball% Allowed

27.9%

HR/FB

31.4%

HR/9 (est.)

1.85

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

50% (5/10)· 1U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Sep 5

@ CLE

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

@ CLE

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

@ CLE

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

@ MIN

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 1

@ MIN

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Gavin Williams's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Hao-Yu Lee's K% vs Pitch
Sweeper	29.7%	41.9%	28.1%	87.9	13.6%
4-Seam Fastball	27.9%	28.6%	27.9%	98.3	24.8%
Curveball	22.1%	32%	23.9%	82.7	0%
Sinker	16.7%	16%	10%	97.7	23.5%
Cutter	3.6%	18.5%	25%	92.8	31.6%

Green = a plus pitch for Gavin Williams (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Hao-Yu Lee (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Hao-Yu Lee handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Sweeper	29.7%	37.8%	0.207	22.7%	0.452
4-Seam Fastball	27.9%	40.5%	0.226	57.4%	0.392
Curveball	22.1%	44.2%	0.324	60%	0.215
Sinker	16.7%	57.1%	0.538	37.9%	0.318
Cutter	3.6%	54.5%	0.464	25%	0.205

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