MLB hitter props

Nathan Church

vs Tanner GordonProjected lineup3:10 PM ET

HR probability

10.1%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's HR probability.

Season HR%

2.0%

Park factor

3.4

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

80%

8 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.9

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.4

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	80% (8/10)· 5O streak
H+R+R	1.7	1.5DraftKings	+0.2	—	60% (6/10)· 2O streak
Total Bases	1.3	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 3U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	0.5DraftKings	-0.4	—	20% (2/10)· 1U streak

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's props.

Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

67.8%Line

2+ Hits

27.7%

3+ Hits

6.9%

4+ Hits

0.7%

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's hits ladder.

Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

3.7%

Hard Hit%

28.3%

Exit Velo

84.2 mph

EV90

101.6 mph

Sweet Spot%

31.4%

Fly Ball%

24.1%

xSLG

0.397

ISO

0.107

15.5%

Contact%

83.2%

Bat Speed

67.4 mph

Swing Length

6.93 ft

Platoon HR%

1.6%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Tanner Gordon

View Tanner Gordon's report →

Avg

0.500

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Tanner Gordon

View Tanner Gordon's report →

HR% Allowed

4.9%

Barrel% Allowed

7.8%

Hard Hit% Allowed

40.8%

xSLG Allowed

0.528

Fly Ball% Allowed

35.2%

HR/FB

17.5%

HR/9 (est.)

1.89

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see matchup history.

Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

80% (8/10)· 5O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Sep 5

@ COL

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

@ COL

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 3

@ LAD

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 2

@ LAD

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 1

@ LAD

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's prop trend chart.

Analytics

Facing Today

View Tanner Gordon's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Nathan Church's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	51.1%	18%	21.5%	92.6	15.1%
Changeup	22.2%	19.3%	14.6%	84.5	18.1%
Slider	19%	13.2%	11.5%	87.3	14.1%
Curveball	7.6%	15.4%	12.9%	81.9	10%

Green = a plus pitch for Tanner Gordon (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Nathan Church (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Nathan Church handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	51.1%	50.6%	0.367	34.7%	0.285
Changeup	22.2%	29.2%	0.279	28.8%	0.291
Slider	19%	31.4%	0.371	26.1%	0.251
Curveball	7.6%	46.2%	0.500	25%	0.382

Unlock the full board

Create a free account to see this player's arsenal matchup.