MLB hitter props

Jackson Merrill

vs Gerrit ColeProjected lineup4:10 PM ET

HR probability

10.2%

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Season HR%

4.8%

Park factor

2.8

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

50%

5 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.9

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.4

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	50% (5/10)· 3U streak
H+R+R	1.7	1.5DraftKings	+0.2	—	50% (5/10)· 3U streak
Total Bases	1.4	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 3U streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

65.6%Line

2+ Hits

25.5%

3+ Hits

5.8%

4+ Hits

0.7%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

12.8%

Hard Hit%

47.7%

Exit Velo

91.2 mph

EV90

104.6 mph

Sweet Spot%

38.7%

Fly Ball%

33.2%

xSLG

0.668

ISO

0.209

23.5%

Contact%

75.7%

Bat Speed

71.5 mph

Swing Length

7.36 ft

Platoon HR%

6.1%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Gerrit Cole

View Gerrit Cole's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Gerrit Cole

View Gerrit Cole's report →

HR% Allowed

2.8%

Barrel% Allowed

7.9%

Hard Hit% Allowed

45.8%

xSLG Allowed

0.528

Fly Ball% Allowed

26.2%

HR/FB

15.9%

HR/9 (est.)

1.08

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

50% (5/10)· 3U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Sep 5

vs NYY

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

vs NYY

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

@ CIN

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

@ CIN

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Aug 31

@ CIN

OVER

Hits

+1.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Gerrit Cole's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Jackson Merrill's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	49.7%	21.8%	24.2%	96.9	21.9%
Slider	19.9%	24.6%	20.8%	89.8	20.3%
Knuckle Curve	14.4%	19.5%	16.3%	83.6	31.2%
Changeup	13.4%	23%	20.4%	86.2	18.4%
Sinker	2.6%	6.7%	16.7%	96.2	13.9%

Green = a plus pitch for Gerrit Cole (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Jackson Merrill (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Jackson Merrill handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	49.7%	50%	0.273	57.6%	0.286
Slider	19.9%	50%	0.318	50%	0.338
Knuckle Curve	14.4%	48.6%	0.370	50%	0.120
Changeup	13.4%	28.6%	0.241	40.4%	0.297
Sinker	2.6%	57.1%	0.578	45.3%	0.484

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