MLB hitter props

Jacob Young

vs Justin WrobleskiProjected lineup10:10 PM ET

HR probability

11.5%

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Season HR%

1.0%

Park factor

3.1

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

Selected line

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

50%

5 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.8

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.3

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 2U streak
H+R+R	1.6	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 2U streak
Total Bases	1.2	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 2U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 6U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

61.9%

2+ Hits

21.3%

3+ Hits

4.1%

4+ Hits

0.6%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

6.1%

Hard Hit%

25.7%

Exit Velo

84.3 mph

EV90

101.4 mph

Sweet Spot%

37.8%

Fly Ball%

30.4%

xSLG

0.466

ISO

0.131

15.6%

Contact%

78.7%

Bat Speed

66.5 mph

Swing Length

6.98 ft

Platoon HR%

2.6%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Justin Wrobleski

View Justin Wrobleski's report →

Avg

1.000

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Justin Wrobleski

View Justin Wrobleski's report →

HR% Allowed

6.3%

Barrel% Allowed

12.6%

Hard Hit% Allowed

44.8%

xSLG Allowed

0.660

Fly Ball% Allowed

33.3%

HR/FB

27.6%

HR/9 (est.)

2.46

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

50% (5/10)· 2U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Sep 4

@ LAD

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

vs ATL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

vs ATL

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Aug 31

vs MIA

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 30

vs MIA

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Justin Wrobleski's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Jacob Young's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	48.7%	25.9%	23.6%	95.2	20.2%
Slider	22.6%	21.4%	23.2%	87.2	14.7%
Sinker	10.2%	10%	33.3%	94	15.9%
Changeup	7%	19.2%	10.5%	84.8	9.1%
Sweeper	5.8%	4.5%	8.6%	85.3	21.2%
Curveball	3.8%	6.2%	0%	76.2	11.1%
Cutter	1.9%	18.2%	0%	90.8	12%

Green = a plus pitch for Justin Wrobleski (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Jacob Young (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Jacob Young handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	48.7%	43.5%	0.315	44.4%	0.398
Slider	22.6%	58.1%	0.412	22.9%	0.220
Sinker	10.2%	37%	0.324	27.8%	0.333
Changeup	7%	35.7%	0.225	23.3%	0.307
Sweeper	5.8%	30%	0.277	23.1%	0.232
Curveball	3.8%	57.1%	0.843	27.3%	0.383
Cutter	1.9%	--	--	25%	0.421

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