MLB hitter props

Hunter Goodman

vs Kyle LeahyProjected lineup3:10 PM ET

HR probability

12.1%

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Season HR%

7.4%

Park factor

3.4

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

60%

6 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.9

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.4

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	60% (6/10)· 1O streak
H+R+R	1.8	1.5DraftKings	+0.3	—	50% (5/10)· 1O streak
Total Bases	1.4	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 2U streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

64.8%Line

2+ Hits

24.5%

3+ Hits

5.5%

4+ Hits

0.8%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

15.8%

Hard Hit%

43.4%

Exit Velo

89.6 mph

EV90

107.2 mph

Sweet Spot%

33.6%

Fly Ball%

32.9%

xSLG

0.744

ISO

0.283

31.6%

Contact%

65.8%

Bat Speed

73.4 mph

Swing Length

7.19 ft

Platoon HR%

8.8%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Kyle Leahy

View Kyle Leahy's report →

Avg

0.000

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Kyle Leahy

View Kyle Leahy's report →

HR% Allowed

1.8%

Barrel% Allowed

8.9%

Hard Hit% Allowed

46.3%

xSLG Allowed

0.507

Fly Ball% Allowed

23.7%

HR/FB

11.1%

HR/9 (est.)

0.70

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

60% (6/10)· 1O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Sep 5

vs STL

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

vs STL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

vs BAL

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 1

vs BAL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 31

vs BAL

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Kyle Leahy's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Hunter Goodman's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	23.3%	14.3%	9.8%	94.7	29%
Curveball	17.2%	25.6%	15.6%	83.4	30.6%
Slider	17.1%	26.4%	35.3%	89.5	26.6%
Changeup	16%	23.1%	19%	89	23.9%
Sweeper	14.3%	20.8%	17.3%	85	29%
Sinker	12.2%	14.1%	28.3%	94.6	19.6%

Green = a plus pitch for Kyle Leahy (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Hunter Goodman (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Hunter Goodman handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	23.3%	51.6%	0.464	58.7%	0.325
Curveball	17.2%	41.7%	0.215	47.4%	0.331
Slider	17.1%	46.2%	0.308	51.2%	0.451
Changeup	16%	36.8%	0.222	30.3%	0.316
Sweeper	14.3%	57.1%	0.380	29%	0.240
Sinker	12.2%	52%	0.201	45.3%	0.518

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