MLB hitter props

Daylen Lile

vs Justin WrobleskiProjected lineup10:10 PM ET

HR probability

8.5%

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Season HR%

4.0%

Park factor

3.1

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

1.5

Selected line

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

30%

3 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.1

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.4

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 1O streak
H+R+R	2.1	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 1O streak
Total Bases	1.8	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 3U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

67.2%

2+ Hits

27.9%

3+ Hits

7.4%

4+ Hits

1.2%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

10.5%

Hard Hit%

39.5%

Exit Velo

89.4 mph

EV90

104.1 mph

Sweet Spot%

44.1%

Fly Ball%

39.1%

xSLG

0.590

ISO

0.206

19.7%

Contact%

78.9%

Bat Speed

70.5 mph

Swing Length

7.38 ft

Platoon HR%

1.3%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Justin Wrobleski

View Justin Wrobleski's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Justin Wrobleski

View Justin Wrobleski's report →

HR% Allowed

6.3%

Barrel% Allowed

12.6%

Hard Hit% Allowed

44.8%

xSLG Allowed

0.660

Fly Ball% Allowed

33.3%

HR/FB

27.6%

HR/9 (est.)

2.46

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

30% (3/10)· 1O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

1.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 1.5Model 1

Sep 5

@ LAD

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

@ LAD

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Sep 2

vs ATL

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Sep 1

vs ATL

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Aug 31

vs MIA

OVER

Hits

+1.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Justin Wrobleski's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Daylen Lile's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	48.7%	25.9%	23.6%	95.2	16.8%
Slider	22.6%	21.4%	23.2%	87.2	31.5%
Sinker	10.2%	10%	33.3%	94	11.6%
Changeup	7%	19.2%	10.5%	84.8	10.2%
Sweeper	5.8%	4.5%	8.6%	85.3	13.2%
Curveball	3.8%	6.2%	0%	76.2	20.4%
Cutter	1.9%	18.2%	0%	90.8	12.8%

Green = a plus pitch for Justin Wrobleski (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Daylen Lile (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Daylen Lile handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	48.7%	43.5%	0.315	39.8%	0.318
Slider	22.6%	58.1%	0.412	40%	0.341
Sinker	10.2%	37%	0.324	40%	0.360
Changeup	7%	35.7%	0.225	29.9%	0.249
Sweeper	5.8%	30%	0.277	41.9%	0.309
Curveball	3.8%	57.1%	0.843	57.7%	0.368
Cutter	1.9%	--	--	36.1%	0.404

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