MLB hitter props
Abimelec Ortiz
HR probability
9.8%
Season HR%
4.8%
Park factor
3.1
Analytics
Hits Snapshot
Market line
1.5
Selected line
Model projection
1
Expected hits
Hit rate
20%
2 of 10 overs
Average Hits
0.6
Last 10 games
Average margin
-0.9
Vs selected line
Current streak
6
UNDER
Stat color key
Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.
Analytics
Hits, Bases & SB Props
| Market | Projection | Line | Edge | Actual | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 1.0 | — | +0.0 | — | 20% (2/10)· 6U streak |
| H+R+R | 1.4 | — | +0.0 | — | 30% (3/10)· 1U streak |
| Total Bases | 1.1 | — | +0.0 | — | 20% (2/10)· 6U streak |
| Stolen Bases | 0.0 | — | +0.0 | — | 0% (0/10)· 10U streak |
Analytics
Hits Ladder
Analytics
Power & Contact Profile
Barrel%
8.2%
Hard Hit%
37.0%
Exit Velo
89.5 mph
EV90
105 mph
Sweet Spot%
42.5%
Fly Ball%
31.5%
xSLG
0.565
ISO
0.180
K%
24.8%
Contact%
77.1%
Bat Speed
73.5 mph
Swing Length
7.22 ft
Platoon HR%
--
Analytics
Matchup History vs Justin Wrobleski
View Justin Wrobleski's report →No recorded plate appearances between these two players.
Analytics
Opposing Pitcher — Justin Wrobleski
View Justin Wrobleski's report →HR% Allowed
6.3%
Barrel% Allowed
12.6%
Hard Hit% Allowed
44.8%
xSLG Allowed
0.660
Fly Ball% Allowed
33.3%
HR/FB
27.6%
HR/9 (est.)
2.46
Prop performance terminal
HITS RESULTS
Historical hits performance against the selected market line.
Hits Simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
1.5
Over
2
Under
8
Push
0
Sep 5
@ LAD
Hits
0
-1.5
Sep 4
@ LAD
Hits
1
-0.5
Sep 2
vs ATL
Hits
0
-1.5
Sep 1
vs ATL
Hits
0
-1.5
Aug 31
vs MIA
Hits
0
-1.5
Analytics
Facing Today
View Justin Wrobleski's report →| Pitch | Usage | Whiff% | Put-away% | Velo | Abimelec Ortiz's K% vs Pitch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 48.7% | 25.9% | 23.6% | 95.2 | 15.6% |
| Slider | 22.6% | 21.4% | 23.2% | 87.2 | 19% |
| Sinker | 10.2% | 10% | 33.3% | 94 | 0% |
| Changeup | 7% | 19.2% | 10.5% | 84.8 | 23.5% |
| Sweeper | 5.8% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 85.3 | 15% |
| Curveball | 3.8% | 6.2% | 0% | 76.2 | 33.3% |
| Cutter | 1.9% | 18.2% | 0% | 90.8 | 0% |
Green = a plus pitch for Justin Wrobleski (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Abimelec Ortiz (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Abimelec Ortiz handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)
Analytics
Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)
| Pitch | Usage | P Hard Hit% | P wOBA | Batter Hard Hit% | Batter wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 48.7% | 43.5% | 0.315 | 47.8% | 0.420 |
| Slider | 22.6% | 58.1% | 0.412 | 33.3% | 0.165 |
| Sinker | 10.2% | 37% | 0.324 | 33.3% | 0.160 |
| Changeup | 7% | 35.7% | 0.225 | 37.5% | 0.404 |
| Sweeper | 5.8% | 30% | 0.277 | 33.3% | 0.270 |
| Curveball | 3.8% | 57.1% | 0.843 | -- | 0.000 |
| Cutter | 1.9% | -- | -- | 33.3% | 0.000 |