MLB hitter props

Jackson Chourio

vs Brady SingerProjected lineup12:10 PM ET

HR probability

12.9%

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Season HR%

4.8%

Park factor

3.4

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

1.5

DraftKings

Model projection

1.1

Expected hits

Hit rate

30%

3 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.6

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.1

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.1	1.5DraftKings	-0.4	—	30% (3/10)· 3U streak
H+R+R	2.2	2.5DraftKings	-0.3	—	60% (6/10)· 1U streak
Total Bases	1.8	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 3U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	0.5DraftKings	-0.4	—	20% (2/10)· 4U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

71.2%

2+ Hits

32.1%Line

3+ Hits

9.2%

4+ Hits

1.4%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

10.9%

Hard Hit%

46.2%

Exit Velo

91.5 mph

EV90

107.2 mph

Sweet Spot%

33.2%

Fly Ball%

30.0%

xSLG

0.598

ISO

0.194

22.5%

Contact%

77.0%

Bat Speed

72.5 mph

Swing Length

7.29 ft

Platoon HR%

4.5%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Brady Singer

View Brady Singer's report →

Avg

0.273

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Brady Singer

View Brady Singer's report →

HR% Allowed

2.4%

Barrel% Allowed

6.4%

Hard Hit% Allowed

42.0%

xSLG Allowed

0.491

Fly Ball% Allowed

25.0%

HR/FB

13.6%

HR/9 (est.)

0.93

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

30% (3/10)· 3U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

1.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 1.5Model 1.1

Sep 5

@ CIN

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

@ CIN

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 3

@ CHC

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Sep 2

@ CHC

OVER

Hits

+2.5

Sep 1

@ CHC

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Brady Singer's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Jackson Chourio's K% vs Pitch
Sinker	52%	18.7%	21.3%	91.3	22%
Slider	21.8%	30.3%	14.9%	82.9	17.3%
Sweeper	17.3%	38.2%	19.6%	82.5	14.3%
Cutter	7.3%	12%	0%	87.6	26.5%
4-Seam Fastball	1.7%	8.3%	9.1%	91.1	19.6%

Green = a plus pitch for Brady Singer (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Jackson Chourio (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Jackson Chourio handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Sinker	52%	47.5%	0.312	54.9%	0.380
Slider	21.8%	47.8%	0.380	40%	0.308
Sweeper	17.3%	25%	0.253	31.6%	0.230
Cutter	7.3%	28.6%	0.566	50%	0.355
4-Seam Fastball	1.7%	--	0.000	58.5%	0.442

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