MLB hitter props

Javier Sanoja

vs Clay HolmesProjected lineup1:40 PM ET

HR probability

6.6%

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Season HR%

1.9%

Park factor

2.3

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

1.1

Expected hits

Hit rate

90%

9 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.5

Last 10 games

Average margin

+1.0

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.1	0.5DraftKings	+0.6	—	90% (9/10)· 6O streak
H+R+R	1.8	1.5DraftKings	+0.3	—	60% (6/10)· 1O streak
Total Bases	1.4	—	+0.0	—	60% (6/10)· 1U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 9U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

69.4%Line

2+ Hits

29.2%

3+ Hits

4+ Hits

1.2%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

2.2%

Hard Hit%

30.2%

Exit Velo

85.4 mph

EV90

101.1 mph

Sweet Spot%

36.6%

Fly Ball%

20.3%

xSLG

0.390

ISO

0.154

5.4%

Contact%

90.5%

Bat Speed

66.9 mph

Swing Length

7.22 ft

Platoon HR%

2.3%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Clay Holmes

View Clay Holmes's report →

Avg

0.250

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Clay Holmes

View Clay Holmes's report →

HR% Allowed

0.9%

Barrel% Allowed

4.8%

Hard Hit% Allowed

38.1%

xSLG Allowed

0.438

Fly Ball% Allowed

13.1%

HR/FB

9.1%

HR/9 (est.)

0.35

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

90% (9/10)· 6O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1.1

Sep 5

vs CHC

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

vs CHC

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 3

@ KC

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 2

@ KC

OVER

Hits

+2.5

Sep 1

@ KC

OVER

Hits

+1.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Clay Holmes's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Javier Sanoja's K% vs Pitch
Sinker	48.6%	7.3%	16%	92.3	2.3%
Sweeper	16.7%	12%	4%	80.4	16.3%
Cutter	16.5%	50%	36.4%	84.6	6.9%
Changeup	12.1%	31.8%	21.1%	87	11.5%
Curveball	4%	20%	16.7%	80	15.4%

Green = a plus pitch for Clay Holmes (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Javier Sanoja (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Javier Sanoja handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Sinker	48.6%	50.9%	0.284	36.5%	0.347
Sweeper	16.7%	18.2%	0.283	18.8%	0.267
Cutter	16.5%	25%	0.197	22.6%	0.264
Changeup	12.1%	11.1%	0.138	15.4%	0.399
Curveball	4%	--	--	20%	0.244

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