MLB hitter props

Jordan Walker

vs Tanner GordonProjected lineup3:10 PM ET

HR probability

14.4%

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Season HR%

3.6%

Park factor

3.4

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

1.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

40%

4 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.3

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.2

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	1.5DraftKings	-0.5	—	40% (4/10)· 2U streak
H+R+R	2.2	2.5DraftKings	-0.3	—	30% (3/10)· 4U streak
Total Bases	1.9	—	+0.0	—	60% (6/10)· 2U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	0.5DraftKings	-0.4	—	10% (1/10)· 1U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

68.1%

2+ Hits

28.1%Line

3+ Hits

7.4%

4+ Hits

1.2%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

12.8%

Hard Hit%

46.0%

Exit Velo

91 mph

EV90

109.8 mph

Sweet Spot%

35.4%

Fly Ball%

23.5%

xSLG

0.614

ISO

0.176

24.5%

Contact%

70.5%

Bat Speed

77.6 mph

Swing Length

8.35 ft

Platoon HR%

3.4%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Tanner Gordon

View Tanner Gordon's report →

Avg

0.333

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Tanner Gordon

View Tanner Gordon's report →

HR% Allowed

4.9%

Barrel% Allowed

7.8%

Hard Hit% Allowed

40.8%

xSLG Allowed

0.528

Fly Ball% Allowed

35.2%

HR/FB

17.5%

HR/9 (est.)

1.89

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

40% (4/10)· 2U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

1.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 1.5Model 1

Sep 5

@ COL

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Sep 4

@ COL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 3

@ LAD

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 2

@ LAD

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

@ LAD

OVER

Hits

+1.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Tanner Gordon's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Jordan Walker's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	51.1%	18%	21.5%	92.6	26.4%
Changeup	22.2%	19.3%	14.6%	84.5	26.3%
Slider	19%	13.2%	11.5%	87.3	27.3%
Curveball	7.6%	15.4%	12.9%	81.9	27%

Green = a plus pitch for Tanner Gordon (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Jordan Walker (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Jordan Walker handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	51.1%	50.6%	0.367	59.6%	0.355
Changeup	22.2%	29.2%	0.279	50%	0.409
Slider	19%	31.4%	0.371	39.3%	0.348
Curveball	7.6%	46.2%	0.500	52%	0.309

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