MLB hitter props

Christian Encarnacion-Strand

vs Payton TolleProjected lineup1:35 PM ET

HR probability

10.7%

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Season HR%

5.4%

Park factor

3.2

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

70%

7 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.9

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.4

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	0.5DraftKings	+0.4	—	70% (7/10)· 3O streak
H+R+R	2.2	1.5DraftKings	+0.7	—	30% (3/10)· 2U streak
Total Bases	1.8	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

64.2%Line

2+ Hits

23%

3+ Hits

4.6%

4+ Hits

0.6%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

15.8%

Hard Hit%

39.6%

Exit Velo

91.2 mph

EV90

105.9 mph

Sweet Spot%

41.6%

Fly Ball%

30.7%

xSLG

0.714

ISO

0.230

26.2%

Contact%

77.3%

Bat Speed

72.2 mph

Swing Length

7.33 ft

Platoon HR%

10.2%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Payton Tolle

View Payton Tolle's report →

Avg

0.667

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Payton Tolle

View Payton Tolle's report →

HR% Allowed

3.5%

Barrel% Allowed

7.3%

Hard Hit% Allowed

33.2%

xSLG Allowed

0.483

Fly Ball% Allowed

26.8%

HR/FB

20.3%

HR/9 (est.)

1.35

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

70% (7/10)· 3O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Sep 5

vs BOS

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

vs BOS

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 3

vs BOS

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 2

@ COL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

@ COL

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Payton Tolle's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Christian Encarnacion-Strand's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	42.9%	25.3%	24.6%	96.1	22.4%
Cutter	22.3%	27.1%	19.5%	88.6	10%
Sinker	22.1%	15.2%	20%	94.9	17.6%
Curveball	9.5%	38.6%	30.8%	83.1	0%
Changeup	3.1%	11.8%	14.3%	88.7	18.8%

Green = a plus pitch for Payton Tolle (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Christian Encarnacion-Strand (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Christian Encarnacion-Strand handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	42.9%	44%	0.334	42.9%	0.325
Cutter	22.3%	23.2%	0.286	--	0.360
Sinker	22.1%	28.1%	0.379	43.8%	0.290
Curveball	9.5%	29.4%	0.174	--	--
Changeup	3.1%	33.3%	0.571	38.5%	0.476

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