MLB hitter props

Pedro Pagés

vs Tanner GordonProjected lineup3:10 PM ET

HR probability

9.9%

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Season HR%

0.0%

Park factor

3.4

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

Selected line

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

50%

5 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.5

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.0

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 1O streak
H+R+R	0.9	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 1O streak
Total Bases	0.9	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

62.1%

2+ Hits

22%

3+ Hits

4.7%

4+ Hits

0.5%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

0.0%

Hard Hit%

39.0%

Exit Velo

86.9 mph

EV90

104.5 mph

Sweet Spot%

31.7%

Fly Ball%

14.6%

xSLG

0.392

ISO

0.033

30.9%

Contact%

75.2%

Bat Speed

71.5 mph

Swing Length

7.11 ft

Platoon HR%

0.0%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Tanner Gordon

View Tanner Gordon's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Tanner Gordon

View Tanner Gordon's report →

HR% Allowed

4.9%

Barrel% Allowed

7.8%

Hard Hit% Allowed

40.8%

xSLG Allowed

0.528

Fly Ball% Allowed

35.2%

HR/FB

17.5%

HR/9 (est.)

1.89

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

50% (5/10)· 1O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Sep 3

@ LAD

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Aug 27

vs BAL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 26

vs BAL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 23

@ PHI

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Aug 21

@ PHI

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Tanner Gordon's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Pedro Pagés's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	51.1%	18%	21.5%	92.6	15.7%
Changeup	22.2%	19.3%	14.6%	84.5	23.4%
Slider	19%	13.2%	11.5%	87.3	25.6%
Curveball	7.6%	15.4%	12.9%	81.9	10.3%

Green = a plus pitch for Tanner Gordon (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Pedro Pagés (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Pedro Pagés handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	51.1%	50.6%	0.367	38.9%	0.272
Changeup	22.2%	29.2%	0.279	43.8%	0.179
Slider	19%	31.4%	0.371	30.4%	0.300
Curveball	7.6%	46.2%	0.500	37.5%	0.133

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