MLB hitter props

Nick Sogard

vs Kyle BradishProjected lineup1:35 PM ET

HR probability

11.8%

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Season HR%

2.4%

Park factor

3.2

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

70%

7 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.0

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.5

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	70% (7/10)· 1O streak
H+R+R	2.0	1.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	60% (6/10)· 1O streak
Total Bases	1.7	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

68.1%Line

2+ Hits

26.5%

3+ Hits

6.4%

4+ Hits

1.1%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

6.3%

Hard Hit%

32.4%

Exit Velo

84.6 mph

EV90

101.6 mph

Sweet Spot%

39.6%

Fly Ball%

24.3%

xSLG

0.494

ISO

0.151

18.1%

Contact%

81.5%

Bat Speed

66.5 mph

Swing Length

6.89 ft

Platoon HR%

1.5%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Kyle Bradish

View Kyle Bradish's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Kyle Bradish

View Kyle Bradish's report →

HR% Allowed

2.7%

Barrel% Allowed

6.5%

Hard Hit% Allowed

39.7%

xSLG Allowed

0.519

Fly Ball% Allowed

27.6%

HR/FB

14.1%

HR/9 (est.)

1.05

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

70% (7/10)· 1O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Sep 5

@ BAL

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 4

@ BAL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 3

@ BAL

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 2

vs SEA

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

vs SEA

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Kyle Bradish's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Nick Sogard's K% vs Pitch
Sinker	41.2%	10.7%	20.1%	94.8	22.2%
Slider	21.8%	39%	16.5%	88	23.1%
Curveball	20.9%	29.4%	14.7%	85.4	14.3%
4-Seam Fastball	15%	13%	20.7%	94.4	15.4%
Changeup	1.1%	—	0%	90.4	12.5%

Green = a plus pitch for Kyle Bradish (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Nick Sogard (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Nick Sogard handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Sinker	41.2%	41.2%	0.298	28.6%	0.316
Slider	21.8%	28.9%	0.347	16.7%	0.177
Curveball	20.9%	46.7%	0.390	44.4%	0.267
4-Seam Fastball	15%	37.1%	0.395	34.6%	0.446
Changeup	1.1%	--	--	22.7%	0.519

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