MLB hitter props

Dylan Crews

vs Justin WrobleskiProjected lineup10:10 PM ET

HR probability

10.2%

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Season HR%

2.6%

Park factor

3.1

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

1.5

Selected line

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

40%

4 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.1

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.4

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 1O streak
H+R+R	1.7	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 1O streak
Total Bases	1.4	—	+0.0	—	60% (6/10)· 2O streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 1O streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

64.5%

2+ Hits

25.4%

3+ Hits

6.1%

4+ Hits

0.8%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

8.7%

Hard Hit%

41.8%

Exit Velo

90.1 mph

EV90

104.7 mph

Sweet Spot%

34.7%

Fly Ball%

28.6%

xSLG

0.551

ISO

0.152

26.2%

Contact%

70.4%

Bat Speed

72 mph

Swing Length

7.53 ft

Platoon HR%

4.2%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Justin Wrobleski

View Justin Wrobleski's report →

Avg

0.667

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Justin Wrobleski

View Justin Wrobleski's report →

HR% Allowed

6.3%

Barrel% Allowed

12.6%

Hard Hit% Allowed

44.8%

xSLG Allowed

0.660

Fly Ball% Allowed

33.3%

HR/FB

27.6%

HR/9 (est.)

2.46

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

40% (4/10)· 1O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

1.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 1.5Model 1

Sep 5

@ LAD

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

@ LAD

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

vs ATL

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Sep 1

vs ATL

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Aug 30

vs MIA

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Justin Wrobleski's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Dylan Crews's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	48.7%	25.9%	23.6%	95.2	17.8%
Slider	22.6%	21.4%	23.2%	87.2	27.9%
Sinker	10.2%	10%	33.3%	94	23.2%
Changeup	7%	19.2%	10.5%	84.8	34.1%
Sweeper	5.8%	4.5%	8.6%	85.3	18.8%
Curveball	3.8%	6.2%	0%	76.2	29.4%
Cutter	1.9%	18.2%	0%	90.8	15.4%

Green = a plus pitch for Justin Wrobleski (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Dylan Crews (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Dylan Crews handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	48.7%	43.5%	0.315	50%	0.332
Slider	22.6%	58.1%	0.412	34.8%	0.351
Sinker	10.2%	37%	0.324	47.4%	0.269
Changeup	7%	35.7%	0.225	23.5%	0.185
Sweeper	5.8%	30%	0.277	57.1%	0.190
Curveball	3.8%	57.1%	0.843	33.3%	0.341
Cutter	1.9%	--	--	25%	0.339

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