MLB hitter props

Spencer Jones

vs Michael KingProjected lineup4:10 PM ET

HR probability

12.1%

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Season HR%

4.8%

Park factor

2.8

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

70%

7 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.9

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.4

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	--	0.5DraftKings	-0.5	—	70% (7/10)· 2O streak
H+R+R	2.0	1.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	60% (6/10)· 2O streak
Total Bases	1.6	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 3U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

No ladder projection available for this game yet.

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

18.4%

Hard Hit%

53.4%

Exit Velo

93.9 mph

EV90

108.9 mph

Sweet Spot%

48.5%

Fly Ball%

35.9%

xSLG

0.791

ISO

0.222

34.4%

Contact%

62.7%

Bat Speed

75.8 mph

Swing Length

7.87 ft

Platoon HR%

4.7%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Michael King

View Michael King's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Michael King

View Michael King's report →

HR% Allowed

2.7%

Barrel% Allowed

7.1%

Hard Hit% Allowed

30.0%

xSLG Allowed

0.514

Fly Ball% Allowed

28.9%

HR/FB

13.7%

HR/9 (est.)

1.06

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

70% (7/10)· 2O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5

Sep 5

@ SD

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 4

@ SD

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 2

@ LAA

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

@ LAA

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Aug 31

@ LAA

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Michael King's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Spencer Jones's K% vs Pitch
Sinker	29.1%	13.6%	16.1%	93.5	22.2%
Changeup	27.1%	25.3%	16.3%	86.6	34.1%
Sweeper	19.3%	24.3%	20.6%	82	16.7%
4-Seam Fastball	18.9%	22.9%	14.2%	94.3	19.8%
Slider	5.6%	17.6%	8.7%	85.7	29.8%

Green = a plus pitch for Michael King (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Spencer Jones (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Spencer Jones handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Sinker	29.1%	38.9%	0.387	64.3%	0.476
Changeup	27.1%	20.2%	0.237	50%	0.230
Sweeper	19.3%	23.8%	0.232	50%	0.539
4-Seam Fastball	18.9%	40.5%	0.359	55.6%	0.346
Slider	5.6%	38.5%	0.244	50%	0.247

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