MLB hitter props

Agustín Ramírez

vs Clay HolmesProjected lineup1:40 PM ET

HR probability

10.1%

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Season HR%

1.3%

Park factor

2.3

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

1.5

Selected line

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

10%

1 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.4

Last 10 games

Average margin

-1.1

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 5U streak
H+R+R	1.7	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 2U streak
Total Bases	1.3	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 2U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

66.6%

2+ Hits

25.8%

3+ Hits

6.9%

4+ Hits

1.1%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

2.2%

Hard Hit%

34.8%

Exit Velo

88.9 mph

EV90

108 mph

Sweet Spot%

23.9%

Fly Ball%

17.4%

xSLG

0.374

ISO

0.091

26.3%

Contact%

74.7%

Bat Speed

74.1 mph

Swing Length

7.69 ft

Platoon HR%

2.7%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Clay Holmes

View Clay Holmes's report →

Avg

0.000

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Clay Holmes

View Clay Holmes's report →

HR% Allowed

0.9%

Barrel% Allowed

4.8%

Hard Hit% Allowed

38.1%

xSLG Allowed

0.438

Fly Ball% Allowed

13.1%

HR/FB

9.1%

HR/9 (est.)

0.35

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

10% (1/10)· 5U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

1.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 1.5Model 1

Sep 5

vs CHC

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Sep 4

vs CHC

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Sep 3

@ KC

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

@ KC

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Aug 31

@ WSH

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Clay Holmes's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Agustín Ramírez's K% vs Pitch
Sinker	48.6%	7.3%	16%	92.3	20%
Sweeper	16.7%	12%	4%	80.4	8.7%
Cutter	16.5%	50%	36.4%	84.6	26.7%
Changeup	12.1%	31.8%	21.1%	87	8.8%
Curveball	4%	20%	16.7%	80	18.8%

Green = a plus pitch for Clay Holmes (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Agustín Ramírez (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Agustín Ramírez handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Sinker	48.6%	50.9%	0.284	39.1%	0.336
Sweeper	16.7%	18.2%	0.283	27.3%	0.539
Cutter	16.5%	25%	0.197	57.1%	0.358
Changeup	12.1%	11.1%	0.138	50%	0.294
Curveball	4%	--	--	20%	0.300

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