MLB hitter props

Francisco Alvarez

vs Cesar PerdomoProjected lineup1:40 PM ET

HR probability

11.1%

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Season HR%

4.6%

Park factor

2.9

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

50%

5 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.6

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.1

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	--	0.5DraftKings	-0.5	—	50% (5/10)· 1U streak
H+R+R	1.7	1.5DraftKings	+0.2	—	40% (4/10)· 1U streak
Total Bases	1.4	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 1U streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

No ladder projection available for this game yet.

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

15.7%

Hard Hit%

47.2%

Exit Velo

90.1 mph

EV90

106.8 mph

Sweet Spot%

37.0%

Fly Ball%

27.6%

xSLG

0.699

ISO

0.188

35.6%

Contact%

64.5%

Bat Speed

72.4 mph

Swing Length

7.19 ft

Platoon HR%

2.7%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Cesar Perdomo

View Cesar Perdomo's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Cesar Perdomo

View Cesar Perdomo's report →

HR% Allowed

Barrel% Allowed

Hard Hit% Allowed

xSLG Allowed

Fly Ball% Allowed

HR/FB

HR/9 (est.)

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

50% (5/10)· 1U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5

Sep 5

vs SF

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

vs SF

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 1

@ TB

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 31

@ TB

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Aug 30

vs HOU

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Cesar Perdomo's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Francisco Alvarez's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	53.4%	36.8%	18.2%	93.3	28.8%
Slider	39.7%	35.7%	20%	85.8	20%

Green = a plus pitch for Cesar Perdomo (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Francisco Alvarez (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Francisco Alvarez handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	53.4%	--	0.564	63.6%	0.299
Slider	39.7%	0%	0.150	38.6%	0.348

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