MLB hitter props

Connor Norby

vs Kyle LeahyProjected lineup3:10 PM ET

HR probability

9.6%

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Season HR%

1.7%

Park factor

3.4

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

70%

7 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.0

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.5

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	0.5DraftKings	+0.4	—	70% (7/10)· 2O streak
H+R+R	1.8	1.5DraftKings	+0.3	—	50% (5/10)· 2O streak
Total Bases	1.4	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 1U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	0.5DraftKings	-0.4	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

62.1%Line

2+ Hits

21.3%

3+ Hits

4.4%

4+ Hits

0.6%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

3.0%

Hard Hit%

34.8%

Exit Velo

86.4 mph

EV90

102.4 mph

Sweet Spot%

37.9%

Fly Ball%

33.3%

xSLG

0.534

ISO

0.129

29.1%

Contact%

72.1%

Bat Speed

68.9 mph

Swing Length

6.92 ft

Platoon HR%

2.7%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Kyle Leahy

View Kyle Leahy's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Kyle Leahy

View Kyle Leahy's report →

HR% Allowed

1.8%

Barrel% Allowed

8.9%

Hard Hit% Allowed

46.3%

xSLG Allowed

0.507

Fly Ball% Allowed

23.7%

HR/FB

11.1%

HR/9 (est.)

0.70

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

70% (7/10)· 2O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Sep 5

vs STL

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

vs STL

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 2

vs BAL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

vs BAL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 31

vs BAL

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Kyle Leahy's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Connor Norby's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	23.3%	14.3%	9.8%	94.7	28.2%
Curveball	17.2%	25.6%	15.6%	83.4	29.4%
Slider	17.1%	26.4%	35.3%	89.5	37.8%
Changeup	16%	23.1%	19%	89	25%
Sweeper	14.3%	20.8%	17.3%	85	11.4%
Sinker	12.2%	14.1%	28.3%	94.6	12.5%

Green = a plus pitch for Kyle Leahy (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Connor Norby (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Connor Norby handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	23.3%	51.6%	0.464	42.2%	0.283
Curveball	17.2%	41.7%	0.215	--	0.153
Slider	17.1%	46.2%	0.308	32%	0.306
Changeup	16%	36.8%	0.222	23.5%	0.217
Sweeper	14.3%	57.1%	0.380	42.9%	0.350
Sinker	12.2%	52%	0.201	32%	0.419

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