MLB hitter props

Colton Cowser

vs Payton TolleProjected lineup1:35 PM ET

HR probability

12.5%

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Season HR%

3.5%

Park factor

3.2

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

Selected line

Model projection

0.8

Expected hits

Hit rate

50%

5 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.6

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.1

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.8	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 1O streak
H+R+R	1.8	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 6U streak
Total Bases	1.6	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

56.8%

2+ Hits

17.8%

3+ Hits

3.2%

4+ Hits

0.3%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

8.9%

Hard Hit%

49.1%

Exit Velo

89.3 mph

EV90

104.8 mph

Sweet Spot%

33.9%

Fly Ball%

34.8%

xSLG

0.638

ISO

0.145

30.7%

Contact%

69.4%

Bat Speed

71.5 mph

Swing Length

7.37 ft

Platoon HR%

2.6%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Payton Tolle

View Payton Tolle's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Payton Tolle

View Payton Tolle's report →

HR% Allowed

3.5%

Barrel% Allowed

7.3%

Hard Hit% Allowed

33.2%

xSLG Allowed

0.483

Fly Ball% Allowed

26.8%

HR/FB

20.3%

HR/9 (est.)

1.35

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

50% (5/10)· 1O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.8

Sep 5

vs BOS

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 3

vs BOS

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

@ COL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

@ COL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 31

@ COL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Payton Tolle's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Colton Cowser's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	42.9%	25.3%	24.6%	96.1	17.5%
Cutter	22.3%	27.1%	19.5%	88.6	0%
Sinker	22.1%	15.2%	20%	94.9	22%
Curveball	9.5%	38.6%	30.8%	83.1	26.8%
Changeup	3.1%	11.8%	14.3%	88.7	16.9%

Green = a plus pitch for Payton Tolle (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Colton Cowser (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Colton Cowser handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	42.9%	44%	0.334	53.2%	0.323
Cutter	22.3%	23.2%	0.286	31.2%	0.590
Sinker	22.1%	28.1%	0.379	47.6%	0.454
Curveball	9.5%	29.4%	0.174	42.9%	0.189
Changeup	3.1%	33.3%	0.571	22%	0.268

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