MLB hitter props

Zack Gelof

vs Bryan WooProjected lineup4:10 PM ET

HR probability

13.8%

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Season HR%

6.0%

Park factor

3.4

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

70%

7 of 10 overs

Average Hits

1.1

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.6

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	70% (7/10)· 5O streak
H+R+R	2.0	1.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	60% (6/10)· 5O streak
Total Bases	1.6	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 1U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 1O streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

66.8%Line

2+ Hits

25.6%

3+ Hits

6.1%

4+ Hits

0.8%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

11.9%

Hard Hit%

45.8%

Exit Velo

88.8 mph

EV90

104.4 mph

Sweet Spot%

33.1%

Fly Ball%

36.4%

xSLG

0.646

ISO

0.262

25.5%

Contact%

72.3%

Bat Speed

71.8 mph

Swing Length

7.1 ft

Platoon HR%

5.4%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Bryan Woo

View Bryan Woo's report →

Avg

0.250

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Bryan Woo

View Bryan Woo's report →

HR% Allowed

3.6%

Barrel% Allowed

8.8%

Hard Hit% Allowed

43.1%

xSLG Allowed

0.588

Fly Ball% Allowed

26.5%

HR/FB

20.4%

HR/9 (est.)

1.41

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

70% (7/10)· 5O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Sep 5

@ SEA

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

@ SEA

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 3

@ SEA

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 2

@ TEX

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 1

@ TEX

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Bryan Woo's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Zack Gelof's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	45.6%	20.9%	16.4%	96.5	25%
Sinker	20.5%	10.5%	16.9%	96.3	11.9%
Slider	17.5%	34.6%	21.1%	87.6	13.3%
Sweeper	6.9%	25.5%	22.4%	85	29%
Changeup	5.9%	12.5%	18.5%	89.6	29.3%
Curveball	3.6%	33.3%	21.7%	83.2	25%

Green = a plus pitch for Bryan Woo (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Zack Gelof (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Zack Gelof handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	45.6%	51.7%	0.369	58.6%	0.403
Sinker	20.5%	42%	0.331	36.4%	0.408
Slider	17.5%	54.8%	0.304	32.6%	0.250
Sweeper	6.9%	11.8%	0.270	40%	0.305
Changeup	5.9%	7.7%	0.226	50%	0.291
Curveball	3.6%	--	0.285	11.1%	0.271

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