MLB hitter props

Richie Palacios

vs MacKenzie GoreProjected lineup2:35 PM ET

HR probability

11.2%

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Season HR%

3.5%

Park factor

3.2

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

Selected line

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

40%

4 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.4

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.1

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 2O streak
H+R+R	1.9	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 2O streak
Total Bases	1.4	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 2O streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

63.2%

2+ Hits

23%

3+ Hits

4.8%

4+ Hits

0.5%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

4.7%

Hard Hit%

27.7%

Exit Velo

84.2 mph

EV90

101.1 mph

Sweet Spot%

32.4%

Fly Ball%

23.6%

xSLG

0.423

ISO

0.166

15.2%

Contact%

81.8%

Bat Speed

66.5 mph

Swing Length

7.06 ft

Platoon HR%

0.0%

Analytics

Matchup History vs MacKenzie Gore

View MacKenzie Gore's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — MacKenzie Gore

View MacKenzie Gore's report →

HR% Allowed

3.1%

Barrel% Allowed

8.1%

Hard Hit% Allowed

40.5%

xSLG Allowed

0.504

Fly Ball% Allowed

26.7%

HR/FB

18.2%

HR/9 (est.)

1.22

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

40% (4/10)· 2O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Sep 5

@ TEX

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

@ TEX

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 3

@ TEX

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

vs NYM

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Aug 31

vs NYM

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View MacKenzie Gore's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Richie Palacios's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	49%	22.3%	20.5%	95.2	19.3%
Curveball	15.3%	25.6%	13.3%	81.3	11.8%
Changeup	14.7%	40.9%	31%	86.1	10.3%
Slider	10.8%	31.8%	26.1%	85.5	14.3%
Cutter	5.7%	26.5%	26.7%	89.8	15%
Sinker	4.4%	6.1%	23.5%	95.1	18.8%

Green = a plus pitch for MacKenzie Gore (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Richie Palacios (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Richie Palacios handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	49%	41.5%	0.333	30.1%	0.361
Curveball	15.3%	45.7%	0.414	28.6%	0.139
Changeup	14.7%	22.9%	0.204	32.1%	0.375
Slider	10.8%	44%	0.269	20%	0.276
Cutter	5.7%	61.1%	0.411	27.8%	0.409
Sinker	4.4%	31.2%	0.317	30.6%	0.292

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