MLB hitter props

Matt McLain

vs Kyle HarrisonProjected lineup12:10 PM ET

HR probability

11.5%

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Season HR%

3.5%

Park factor

3.4

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

50%

5 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.5

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.0

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	0.5DraftKings	+0.4	—	50% (5/10)· 2O streak
H+R+R	1.8	0.5DraftKings	+1.3	—	70% (7/10)· 3O streak
Total Bases	1.4	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 2O streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	0.5DraftKings	-0.4	—	10% (1/10)· 8U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

64.6%Line

2+ Hits

23.4%

3+ Hits

5.2%

4+ Hits

0.7%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

11.1%

Hard Hit%

37.6%

Exit Velo

85.7 mph

EV90

104.2 mph

Sweet Spot%

38.5%

Fly Ball%

35.0%

xSLG

0.575

ISO

0.158

31.0%

Contact%

73.5%

Bat Speed

68.2 mph

Swing Length

6.73 ft

Platoon HR%

5.9%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Kyle Harrison

View Kyle Harrison's report →

No recorded plate appearances between these two players.

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Kyle Harrison

View Kyle Harrison's report →

HR% Allowed

6.8%

Barrel% Allowed

10.2%

Hard Hit% Allowed

44.9%

xSLG Allowed

0.583

Fly Ball% Allowed

33.3%

HR/FB

30.6%

HR/9 (est.)

2.65

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

50% (5/10)· 2O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Sep 5

vs MIL

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

vs MIL

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 2

vs SD

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

vs SD

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 31

vs SD

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Kyle Harrison's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Matt McLain's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	55.5%	22%	21.5%	94.4	23.5%
Slurve	33.7%	28.2%	20.2%	81.8	—
Changeup	7.9%	19.4%	6.7%	85.3	10.6%
Sinker	2.9%	8.3%	0%	94.4	18.8%

Green = a plus pitch for Kyle Harrison (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Matt McLain (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Matt McLain handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	55.5%	53.2%	0.405	46.7%	0.301
Slurve	33.7%	35.3%	0.267	--	--
Changeup	7.9%	33.3%	0.585	4.2%	0.178
Sinker	2.9%	40%	1.010	39.4%	0.299

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