MLB hitter props

Spencer Torkelson

vs Gavin WilliamsProjected lineup1:40 PM ET

HR probability

11.8%

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Season HR%

4.4%

Park factor

2.8

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

0.8

Expected hits

Hit rate

50%

5 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.7

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.2

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.8	0.5DraftKings	+0.3	—	50% (5/10)· 1U streak
H+R+R	1.3	0.5DraftKings	+0.8	—	50% (5/10)· 1U streak
Total Bases	1.2	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 2U streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

57.7%Line

2+ Hits

19%

3+ Hits

4+ Hits

0.2%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

11.3%

Hard Hit%

38.1%

Exit Velo

88.2 mph

EV90

103.5 mph

Sweet Spot%

39.9%

Fly Ball%

32.7%

xSLG

0.598

ISO

0.190

31.1%

Contact%

69.1%

Bat Speed

71.5 mph

Swing Length

7.71 ft

Platoon HR%

5.7%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Gavin Williams

View Gavin Williams's report →

Avg

0.100

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Gavin Williams

View Gavin Williams's report →

HR% Allowed

4.8%

Barrel% Allowed

10.9%

Hard Hit% Allowed

45.4%

xSLG Allowed

0.614

Fly Ball% Allowed

27.9%

HR/FB

31.4%

HR/9 (est.)

1.85

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

50% (5/10)· 1U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.8

Sep 5

@ CLE

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

@ CLE

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

@ CLE

OVER

Hits

+1.5

Sep 2

@ MIN

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 1

@ MIN

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Gavin Williams's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Spencer Torkelson's K% vs Pitch
Sweeper	29.7%	41.9%	28.1%	87.9	34.2%
4-Seam Fastball	27.9%	28.6%	27.9%	98.3	19.2%
Curveball	22.1%	32%	23.9%	82.7	23.5%
Sinker	16.7%	16%	10%	97.7	16.9%
Cutter	3.6%	18.5%	25%	92.8	28.6%

Green = a plus pitch for Gavin Williams (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Spencer Torkelson (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Spencer Torkelson handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Sweeper	29.7%	37.8%	0.207	30%	0.266
4-Seam Fastball	27.9%	40.5%	0.226	47.7%	0.370
Curveball	22.1%	44.2%	0.324	5.9%	0.248
Sinker	16.7%	57.1%	0.538	52.1%	0.454
Cutter	3.6%	54.5%	0.464	34.2%	0.223

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