MLB hitter props
Ceddanne Rafaela
HR probability
12.4%
Season HR%
3.3%
Park factor
3.2
Analytics
Hits Snapshot
Market line
1.5
Selected line
Model projection
1.1
Expected hits
Hit rate
20%
2 of 10 overs
Average Hits
0.8
Last 10 games
Average margin
-0.7
Vs selected line
Current streak
2
UNDER
Stat color key
Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.
Analytics
Hits, Bases & SB Props
| Market | Projection | Line | Edge | Actual | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 1.1 | — | +0.0 | — | 20% (2/10)· 2U streak |
| H+R+R | 1.8 | — | +0.0 | — | 30% (3/10)· 2U streak |
| Total Bases | 1.4 | — | +0.0 | — | 20% (2/10)· 2U streak |
| Stolen Bases | 0.1 | — | +0.0 | — | 0% (0/10)· 10U streak |
Analytics
Hits Ladder
Analytics
Power & Contact Profile
Barrel%
4.2%
Hard Hit%
28.5%
Exit Velo
85.1 mph
EV90
101.3 mph
Sweet Spot%
33.5%
Fly Ball%
26.9%
xSLG
0.448
ISO
0.170
K%
19.9%
Contact%
76.7%
Bat Speed
66.8 mph
Swing Length
7.09 ft
Platoon HR%
2.8%
Analytics
Matchup History vs Kyle Bradish
View Kyle Bradish's report →Avg
0.143
PA
7
HR
0
Analytics
Opposing Pitcher — Kyle Bradish
View Kyle Bradish's report →HR% Allowed
2.7%
Barrel% Allowed
6.5%
Hard Hit% Allowed
39.7%
xSLG Allowed
0.519
Fly Ball% Allowed
27.6%
HR/FB
14.1%
HR/9 (est.)
1.05
Prop performance terminal
HITS RESULTS
Historical hits performance against the selected market line.
Hits Simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
1.5
Over
2
Under
8
Push
0
Sep 2
vs SEA
Hits
1
-0.5
Sep 1
vs SEA
Hits
0
-1.5
Aug 31
vs SEA
Hits
2
+0.5
Aug 30
@ NYY
Hits
0
-1.5
Aug 29
@ NYY
Hits
1
-0.5
Analytics
Facing Today
View Kyle Bradish's report →| Pitch | Usage | Whiff% | Put-away% | Velo | Ceddanne Rafaela's K% vs Pitch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 41.2% | 10.7% | 20.1% | 94.8 | 18.8% |
| Slider | 21.8% | 39% | 16.5% | 88 | 10.5% |
| Curveball | 20.9% | 29.4% | 14.7% | 85.4 | 14.8% |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 15% | 13% | 20.7% | 94.4 | 19.5% |
| Changeup | 1.1% | — | 0% | 90.4 | 16.9% |
Green = a plus pitch for Kyle Bradish (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Ceddanne Rafaela (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Ceddanne Rafaela handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)
Analytics
Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)
| Pitch | Usage | P Hard Hit% | P wOBA | Batter Hard Hit% | Batter wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 41.2% | 41.2% | 0.298 | 36.1% | 0.323 |
| Slider | 21.8% | 28.9% | 0.347 | 31.4% | 0.400 |
| Curveball | 20.9% | 46.7% | 0.390 | 33.3% | 0.291 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 15% | 37.1% | 0.395 | 33% | 0.296 |
| Changeup | 1.1% | -- | -- | 27.1% | 0.311 |