MLB hitter props

Bobby Witt Jr.

vs Spencer ArrighettiProjected lineup2:10 PM ET

HR probability

12.9%

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Season HR%

3.1%

Park factor

3.0

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

1.5

DraftKings

Model projection

1.1

Expected hits

Hit rate

10%

1 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.9

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.6

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.1	1.5DraftKings	-0.4	—	10% (1/10)· 8U streak
H+R+R	2.1	2.5DraftKings	-0.4	—	20% (2/10)· 1U streak
Total Bases	1.7	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 2O streak
Stolen Bases	0.2	0.5DraftKings	-0.3	—	30% (3/10)· 3U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

70%

2+ Hits

30.9%Line

3+ Hits

8.9%

4+ Hits

1.4%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

9.7%

Hard Hit%

50.0%

Exit Velo

91.2 mph

EV90

107.3 mph

Sweet Spot%

36.0%

Fly Ball%

24.7%

xSLG

0.614

ISO

0.158

15.4%

Contact%

76.9%

Bat Speed

72.5 mph

Swing Length

6.93 ft

Platoon HR%

3.0%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Spencer Arrighetti

View Spencer Arrighetti's report →

Avg

0.429

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Spencer Arrighetti

View Spencer Arrighetti's report →

HR% Allowed

5.5%

Barrel% Allowed

10.4%

Hard Hit% Allowed

32.1%

xSLG Allowed

0.582

Fly Ball% Allowed

30.6%

HR/FB

29.3%

HR/9 (est.)

2.13

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

10% (1/10)· 8U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

1.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 1.5Model 1.1

Sep 5

vs TOR

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

vs TOR

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 3

vs MIA

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Sep 2

vs MIA

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

vs MIA

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Spencer Arrighetti's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Bobby Witt Jr.'s K% vs Pitch
Curveball	33%	34.9%	24.2%	76.6	10.3%
4-Seam Fastball	28.9%	21.5%	18.6%	92.3	16.4%
Sweeper	10.6%	29.4%	28%	80.5	25%
Sinker	10.4%	13.5%	20%	92.1	20.3%
Cutter	8%	5.9%	28.6%	88.1	15%
Changeup	7.4%	18.5%	7.7%	84.3	8%
Slider	1.7%	25%	0%	82.3	21.5%

Green = a plus pitch for Spencer Arrighetti (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Bobby Witt Jr. (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Bobby Witt Jr. handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Curveball	33%	32.4%	0.376	40.6%	0.322
4-Seam Fastball	28.9%	36.1%	0.416	61.9%	0.388
Sweeper	10.6%	20%	0.332	38.3%	0.363
Sinker	10.4%	20%	0.421	62.5%	0.392
Cutter	8%	43.8%	0.416	45.2%	0.391
Changeup	7.4%	25%	0.050	44.7%	0.398
Slider	1.7%	--	--	48.2%	0.256

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