MLB hitter props
Ezequiel Duran
HR probability
10.9%
Season HR%
4.1%
Park factor
3.2
Analytics
Hits Snapshot
Market line
0.5
DraftKings
Model projection
0.9
Expected hits
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10 overs
Average Hits
1.1
Last 10 games
Average margin
+0.6
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
UNDER
Stat color key
Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.
Analytics
Hits, Bases & SB Props
| Market | Projection | Line | Edge | Actual | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 0.9 | 0.5DraftKings | +0.4 | — | 70% (7/10)· 1U streak |
| H+R+R | 2.0 | 1.5DraftKings | +0.5 | — | 60% (6/10)· 1U streak |
| Total Bases | 1.7 | — | +0.0 | — | 40% (4/10)· 1U streak |
| Stolen Bases | 0.1 | — | +0.0 | — | 10% (1/10)· 2U streak |
Analytics
Hits Ladder
Analytics
Power & Contact Profile
Barrel%
7.0%
Hard Hit%
36.9%
Exit Velo
86.9 mph
EV90
103.8 mph
Sweet Spot%
36.9%
Fly Ball%
27.1%
xSLG
0.512
ISO
0.194
K%
23.1%
Contact%
76.3%
Bat Speed
69.6 mph
Swing Length
7.02 ft
Platoon HR%
3.1%
Analytics
Matchup History vs Ian Seymour
View Ian Seymour's report →Avg
0.000
PA
2
HR
0
Analytics
Opposing Pitcher — Ian Seymour
View Ian Seymour's report →HR% Allowed
4.8%
Barrel% Allowed
9.5%
Hard Hit% Allowed
35.1%
xSLG Allowed
0.568
Fly Ball% Allowed
28.4%
HR/FB
26.7%
HR/9 (est.)
1.84
Prop performance terminal
HITS RESULTS
Historical hits performance against the selected market line.
Hits Simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
0.5
Over
7
Under
3
Push
0
Sep 5
vs TB
Hits
0
-0.5
Sep 4
vs TB
Hits
1
+0.5
Sep 3
vs TB
Hits
1
+0.5
Sep 2
vs ATH
Hits
3
+2.5
Sep 1
vs ATH
Hits
0
-0.5
Analytics
Facing Today
View Ian Seymour's report →| Pitch | Usage | Whiff% | Put-away% | Velo | Ezequiel Duran's K% vs Pitch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 29.6% | 23.7% | 23.8% | 91.3 | 15.5% |
| Changeup | 28.1% | 37.6% | 27% | 83.4 | 6.8% |
| Sweeper | 20.5% | 22.2% | 21.5% | 81.6 | 16% |
| Sinker | 14% | 4.2% | 15.8% | 89.9 | 12.3% |
| Slider | 6.7% | 30.6% | 24% | 83.4 | 25.2% |
| Curveball | 1.1% | 50% | 0% | 72.7 | 28.6% |
Green = a plus pitch for Ian Seymour (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Ezequiel Duran (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Ezequiel Duran handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)
Analytics
Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)
| Pitch | Usage | P Hard Hit% | P wOBA | Batter Hard Hit% | Batter wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 29.6% | 44.4% | 0.279 | 50% | 0.349 |
| Changeup | 28.1% | 29.9% | 0.268 | 27.8% | 0.376 |
| Sweeper | 20.5% | 27.5% | 0.389 | 42.9% | 0.425 |
| Sinker | 14% | 32.4% | 0.410 | 39.2% | 0.394 |
| Slider | 6.7% | 46.7% | 0.395 | 32% | 0.389 |
| Curveball | 1.1% | -- | -- | 29.4% | 0.312 |