MLB hitter props

Ha-Seong Kim

vs Aaron NolaProjected lineup1:10 PM ET

HR probability

9.8%

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Season HR%

0.0%

Park factor

3.3

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

0.8

Expected hits

Hit rate

40%

4 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.6

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.1

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.8	0.5DraftKings	+0.3	—	40% (4/10)· 2U streak
H+R+R	1.2	0.5DraftKings	+0.7	—	60% (6/10)· 1U streak
Total Bases	1.0	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 2U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	0.5DraftKings	-0.4	—	10% (1/10)· 6U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

55.6%Line

2+ Hits

16.5%

3+ Hits

4+ Hits

0.3%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

3.2%

Hard Hit%

25.8%

Exit Velo

87 mph

EV90

104 mph

Sweet Spot%

22.6%

Fly Ball%

29.0%

xSLG

0.284

ISO

0.022

27.5%

Contact%

81.6%

Bat Speed

69.3 mph

Swing Length

6.9 ft

Platoon HR%

0.0%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Aaron Nola

View Aaron Nola's report →

Avg

0.200

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Aaron Nola

View Aaron Nola's report →

HR% Allowed

6.0%

Barrel% Allowed

9.5%

Hard Hit% Allowed

41.8%

xSLG Allowed

0.547

Fly Ball% Allowed

28.9%

HR/FB

31.3%

HR/9 (est.)

2.32

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

40% (4/10)· 2U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.8

Sep 5

@ PHI

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

@ PHI

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

@ WSH

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 1

@ WSH

OVER

Hits

+2.5

Aug 30

vs COL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Aaron Nola's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Ha-Seong Kim's K% vs Pitch
Knuckle Curve	32.1%	45.2%	32.4%	78.4	—
4-Seam Fastball	22.9%	8.7%	6.8%	92.4	23.1%
Changeup	19.9%	28%	19.7%	85.6	15.4%
Sinker	17.5%	9%	17.5%	91.8	0%
Cutter	6.1%	22.2%	0%	86.4	33.3%
Slider	1.5%	26.7%	0%	83.2	8.3%

Green = a plus pitch for Aaron Nola (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Ha-Seong Kim (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Ha-Seong Kim handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Knuckle Curve	32.1%	31%	0.281	--	--
4-Seam Fastball	22.9%	53.1%	0.363	36.8%	0.222
Changeup	19.9%	44.9%	0.285	--	0.000
Sinker	17.5%	38.9%	0.487	15.8%	0.136
Cutter	6.1%	40%	0.517	--	0.156
Slider	1.5%	57.1%	0.450	33.3%	0.195

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