MLB hitter props

Kazuma Okamoto

vs Randy DobnakProjected lineup2:10 PM ET

HR probability

12.7%

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Season HR%

5.0%

Park factor

3.0

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

60%

6 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.9

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.4

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	0.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	60% (6/10)· 2O streak
H+R+R	1.8	1.5DraftKings	+0.3	—	50% (5/10)· 2O streak
Total Bases	1.6	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 1O streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

67.6%Line

2+ Hits

25.9%

3+ Hits

5.4%

4+ Hits

0.8%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

11.7%

Hard Hit%

38.3%

Exit Velo

89.1 mph

EV90

104.6 mph

Sweet Spot%

34.6%

Fly Ball%

35.1%

xSLG

0.608

ISO

0.227

27.9%

Contact%

70.9%

Bat Speed

70.9 mph

Swing Length

7.9 ft

Platoon HR%

4.8%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Randy Dobnak

View Randy Dobnak's report →

Avg

0.000

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Randy Dobnak

View Randy Dobnak's report →

HR% Allowed

2.0%

Barrel% Allowed

4.9%

Hard Hit% Allowed

40.2%

xSLG Allowed

0.490

Fly Ball% Allowed

20.7%

HR/FB

13.2%

HR/9 (est.)

0.78

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

60% (6/10)· 2O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 1

Sep 5

@ KC

OVER

Hits

+3.5

Sep 4

@ KC

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 2

@ CLE

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

@ CLE

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Aug 30

vs SEA

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Randy Dobnak's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Kazuma Okamoto's K% vs Pitch
Sinker	39.4%	6.1%	10.1%	91.5	22.3%
Sweeper	25.3%	30.4%	16.9%	82.3	18.3%
Changeup	21.3%	28.1%	17.5%	84.8	20.5%
4-Seam Fastball	9.1%	11.1%	12.5%	92.2	18.1%
Slider	4.8%	29.6%	11.5%	83.6	26.8%

Green = a plus pitch for Randy Dobnak (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Kazuma Okamoto (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Kazuma Okamoto handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Sinker	39.4%	48.4%	0.335	53.6%	0.314
Sweeper	25.3%	42.9%	0.334	25.9%	0.322
Changeup	21.3%	27.8%	0.303	37.5%	0.287
4-Seam Fastball	9.1%	22.2%	0.194	51.6%	0.407
Slider	4.8%	33.3%	0.331	33.3%	0.363

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