MLB hitter props

Michael Harris II

vs Aaron NolaProjected lineup1:10 PM ET

HR probability

10.9%

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Season HR%

3.5%

Park factor

3.3

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

Selected line

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

60%

6 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.9

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.4

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	—	+0.0	—	60% (6/10)· 3U streak
H+R+R	2.2	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 3U streak
Total Bases	1.9	—	+0.0	—	40% (4/10)· 3U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 5U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

64.9%

2+ Hits

23.3%

3+ Hits

5.5%

4+ Hits

0.8%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

7.3%

Hard Hit%

44.8%

Exit Velo

87.6 mph

EV90

106.8 mph

Sweet Spot%

31.9%

Fly Ball%

20.3%

xSLG

0.539

ISO

0.195

21.0%

Contact%

78.5%

Bat Speed

72.4 mph

Swing Length

7.95 ft

Platoon HR%

3.5%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Aaron Nola

View Aaron Nola's report →

Avg

0.241

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Aaron Nola

View Aaron Nola's report →

HR% Allowed

6.0%

Barrel% Allowed

9.5%

Hard Hit% Allowed

41.8%

xSLG Allowed

0.547

Fly Ball% Allowed

28.9%

HR/FB

31.3%

HR/9 (est.)

2.32

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

60% (6/10)· 3U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Sep 5

@ PHI

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 4

@ PHI

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

@ WSH

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

@ WSH

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Aug 31

vs SF

OVER

Hits

+1.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Aaron Nola's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Michael Harris II's K% vs Pitch
Knuckle Curve	32.1%	45.2%	32.4%	78.4	45.5%
4-Seam Fastball	22.9%	8.7%	6.8%	92.4	14.3%
Changeup	19.9%	28%	19.7%	85.6	12%
Sinker	17.5%	9%	17.5%	91.8	14.3%
Cutter	6.1%	22.2%	0%	86.4	13.6%
Slider	1.5%	26.7%	0%	83.2	20.9%

Green = a plus pitch for Aaron Nola (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Michael Harris II (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Michael Harris II handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Knuckle Curve	32.1%	31%	0.281	--	0.113
4-Seam Fastball	22.9%	53.1%	0.363	55.3%	0.383
Changeup	19.9%	44.9%	0.285	44.6%	0.360
Sinker	17.5%	38.9%	0.487	49.5%	0.357
Cutter	6.1%	40%	0.517	36.7%	0.378
Slider	1.5%	57.1%	0.450	50%	0.358

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