MLB hitter props

TJ Friedl

vs Kyle HarrisonProjected lineup12:10 PM ET

HR probability

8.0%

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Season HR%

2.4%

Park factor

3.4

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

Selected line

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

30%

3 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.4

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.1

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 5U streak
H+R+R	1.1	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 5U streak
Total Bases	0.8	—	+0.0	—	30% (3/10)· 5U streak
Stolen Bases	0.0	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

62.7%

2+ Hits

22.7%

3+ Hits

4.9%

4+ Hits

0.6%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

3.4%

Hard Hit%

29.3%

Exit Velo

82.4 mph

EV90

100.1 mph

Sweet Spot%

25.9%

Fly Ball%

34.5%

xSLG

0.348

ISO

0.107

21.2%

Contact%

80.6%

Bat Speed

65.8 mph

Swing Length

6.43 ft

Platoon HR%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Kyle Harrison

View Kyle Harrison's report →

Avg

0.250

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Kyle Harrison

View Kyle Harrison's report →

HR% Allowed

6.8%

Barrel% Allowed

10.2%

Hard Hit% Allowed

44.9%

xSLG Allowed

0.583

Fly Ball% Allowed

33.3%

HR/FB

30.6%

HR/9 (est.)

2.65

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

30% (3/10)· 5U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Sep 5

vs MIL

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 2

vs SD

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

vs SD

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 31

vs SD

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 30

@ CHC

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Kyle Harrison's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	TJ Friedl's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	55.5%	22%	21.5%	94.4	22%
Slurve	33.7%	28.2%	20.2%	81.8	—
Changeup	7.9%	19.4%	6.7%	85.3	30%
Sinker	2.9%	8.3%	0%	94.4	14.3%

Green = a plus pitch for Kyle Harrison (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for TJ Friedl (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one TJ Friedl handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	55.5%	53.2%	0.405	27.5%	0.245
Slurve	33.7%	35.3%	0.267	--	--
Changeup	7.9%	33.3%	0.585	10.5%	0.066
Sinker	2.9%	40%	1.010	29%	0.371

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