MLB hitter props
Yordan Alvarez
HR probability
10.4%
Season HR%
4.5%
Park factor
3.3
Analytics
Hits Snapshot
Market line
0.5
DraftKings
Model projection
--
Expected hits
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10 overs
Average Hits
0.7
Last 10 games
Average margin
+0.2
Vs selected line
Current streak
1
UNDER
Stat color key
Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.
Analytics
Hits, Bases & SB Props
| Market | Projection | Line | Edge | Actual | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | -- | 0.5DraftKings | -0.5 | — | 40% (4/10)· 1U streak |
| H+R+R | 2.0 | 1.5DraftKings | +0.5 | — | 40% (4/10)· 1U streak |
| Total Bases | 1.6 | — | +0.0 | — | 30% (3/10)· 1U streak |
| Stolen Bases | 0.0 | — | +0.0 | — | 0% (0/10)· 10U streak |
Analytics
Hits Ladder
No ladder projection available for this game yet.
Analytics
Power & Contact Profile
Barrel%
14.2%
Hard Hit%
52.6%
Exit Velo
94 mph
EV90
108.7 mph
Sweet Spot%
38.9%
Fly Ball%
38.4%
xSLG
0.737
ISO
0.217
K%
17.9%
Contact%
83.7%
Bat Speed
74.9 mph
Swing Length
7.6 ft
Platoon HR%
1.2%
Analytics
Matchup History vs Eduardo Rodriguez
View Eduardo Rodriguez's report →Avg
0.533
PA
18
HR
0
Analytics
Opposing Pitcher — Eduardo Rodriguez
View Eduardo Rodriguez's report →HR% Allowed
1.9%
Barrel% Allowed
7.4%
Hard Hit% Allowed
31.6%
xSLG Allowed
0.502
Fly Ball% Allowed
30.1%
HR/FB
8.5%
HR/9 (est.)
0.74
Prop performance terminal
HITS RESULTS
Historical hits performance against the selected market line.
Hits Simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
0.5
Over
4
Under
6
Push
0
Sep 5
vs ARI
Hits
0
-0.5
Sep 4
vs ARI
Hits
2
+1.5
Sep 3
vs CWS
Hits
0
-0.5
Sep 2
vs CWS
Hits
2
+1.5
Sep 1
vs CWS
Hits
0
-0.5
Analytics
Facing Today
View Eduardo Rodriguez's report →| Pitch | Usage | Whiff% | Put-away% | Velo | Yordan Alvarez's K% vs Pitch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 39.1% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 92.1 | 13.5% |
| Changeup | 25.3% | 30.5% | 15.3% | 85.1 | 15.2% |
| Curveball | 13% | 17.3% | 7% | 79.8 | 20% |
| Cutter | 13% | 18.4% | 11.5% | 88.9 | 20.5% |
| Sinker | 9.7% | 7.4% | 14.6% | 91.6 | 18.8% |
Green = a plus pitch for Eduardo Rodriguez (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Yordan Alvarez (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Yordan Alvarez handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)
Analytics
Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)
| Pitch | Usage | P Hard Hit% | P wOBA | Batter Hard Hit% | Batter wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 39.1% | 33.3% | 0.262 | 60.4% | 0.438 |
| Changeup | 25.3% | 23% | 0.322 | 56.7% | 0.386 |
| Curveball | 13% | 41.9% | 0.269 | 58.6% | 0.461 |
| Cutter | 13% | 33.3% | 0.316 | 61.5% | 0.464 |
| Sinker | 9.7% | 31% | 0.437 | 58.6% | 0.473 |