MLB hitter props
John Rave
HR probability
10.0%
Season HR%
3.9%
Park factor
3.0
Analytics
Hits Snapshot
Market line
0.5
Selected line
Model projection
0.9
Expected hits
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10 overs
Average Hits
0.9
Last 10 games
Average margin
+0.4
Vs selected line
Current streak
2
OVER
Stat color key
Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.
Analytics
Hits, Bases & SB Props
| Market | Projection | Line | Edge | Actual | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hits | 0.9 | — | +0.0 | — | 70% (7/10)· 2O streak |
| H+R+R | 1.7 | — | +0.0 | — | 50% (5/10)· 1O streak |
| Total Bases | 1.1 | — | +0.0 | — | 40% (4/10)· 1O streak |
| Stolen Bases | 0.1 | — | +0.0 | — | 10% (1/10)· 7U streak |
Analytics
Hits Ladder
Analytics
Power & Contact Profile
Barrel%
11.4%
Hard Hit%
37.1%
Exit Velo
84.7 mph
EV90
103.4 mph
Sweet Spot%
32.9%
Fly Ball%
25.7%
xSLG
0.542
ISO
0.211
K%
20.6%
Contact%
80.9%
Bat Speed
69.8 mph
Swing Length
6.97 ft
Platoon HR%
4.0%
Analytics
Matchup History vs Spencer Arrighetti
View Spencer Arrighetti's report →Avg
0.000
PA
2
HR
0
Analytics
Opposing Pitcher — Spencer Arrighetti
View Spencer Arrighetti's report →HR% Allowed
5.5%
Barrel% Allowed
10.4%
Hard Hit% Allowed
32.1%
xSLG Allowed
0.582
Fly Ball% Allowed
30.6%
HR/FB
29.3%
HR/9 (est.)
2.13
Prop performance terminal
HITS RESULTS
Historical hits performance against the selected market line.
Hits Simulator
Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.
Active line
0.5
Over
7
Under
3
Push
0
Sep 5
vs TOR
Hits
1
+0.5
Sep 2
vs MIA
Hits
1
+0.5
Aug 30
@ CLE
Hits
0
-0.5
Aug 29
@ CLE
Hits
1
+0.5
Aug 27
@ TOR
Hits
0
-0.5
Analytics
Facing Today
View Spencer Arrighetti's report →| Pitch | Usage | Whiff% | Put-away% | Velo | John Rave's K% vs Pitch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33% | 34.9% | 24.2% | 76.6 | 16.7% |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 28.9% | 21.5% | 18.6% | 92.3 | 12% |
| Sweeper | 10.6% | 29.4% | 28% | 80.5 | 0% |
| Sinker | 10.4% | 13.5% | 20% | 92.1 | 40% |
| Cutter | 8% | 5.9% | 28.6% | 88.1 | 22.2% |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 18.5% | 7.7% | 84.3 | 42.9% |
| Slider | 1.7% | 25% | 0% | 82.3 | 20% |
Green = a plus pitch for Spencer Arrighetti (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for John Rave (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one John Rave handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)
Analytics
Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)
| Pitch | Usage | P Hard Hit% | P wOBA | Batter Hard Hit% | Batter wOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curveball | 33% | 32.4% | 0.376 | 50% | 0.307 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 28.9% | 36.1% | 0.416 | 35% | 0.491 |
| Sweeper | 10.6% | 20% | 0.332 | 20% | 0.725 |
| Sinker | 10.4% | 20% | 0.421 | 12.5% | 0.262 |
| Cutter | 8% | 43.8% | 0.416 | 55.6% | 0.133 |
| Changeup | 7.4% | 25% | 0.050 | 42.9% | 0.235 |
| Slider | 1.7% | -- | -- | 16.7% | 0.314 |