MLB hitter props

Jake Burger

vs Ian SeymourProjected lineup2:35 PM ET

HR probability

14.8%

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Season HR%

4.6%

Park factor

3.2

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

0.5

DraftKings

Model projection

0.9

Expected hits

Hit rate

70%

7 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.8

Last 10 games

Average margin

+0.3

Vs selected line

Current streak

OVER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	0.9	0.5DraftKings	+0.4	—	70% (7/10)· 3O streak
H+R+R	2.0	1.5DraftKings	+0.5	—	40% (4/10)· 1U streak
Total Bases	1.7	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 5U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	0% (0/10)· 10U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

63.5%Line

2+ Hits

22.4%

3+ Hits

4.5%

4+ Hits

0.6%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

13.8%

Hard Hit%

45.9%

Exit Velo

90 mph

EV90

107.8 mph

Sweet Spot%

27.1%

Fly Ball%

30.9%

xSLG

0.612

ISO

0.189

26.3%

Contact%

68.2%

Bat Speed

75 mph

Swing Length

7.55 ft

Platoon HR%

6.7%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Ian Seymour

View Ian Seymour's report →

Avg

0.500

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Ian Seymour

View Ian Seymour's report →

HR% Allowed

4.8%

Barrel% Allowed

9.5%

Hard Hit% Allowed

35.1%

xSLG Allowed

0.568

Fly Ball% Allowed

28.4%

HR/FB

26.7%

HR/9 (est.)

1.84

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

70% (7/10)· 3O streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

0.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 0.5Model 0.9

Sep 5

vs TB

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 4

vs TB

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 3

vs TB

OVER

Hits

+0.5

Sep 2

vs ATH

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Sep 1

vs ATH

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Ian Seymour's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Jake Burger's K% vs Pitch
4-Seam Fastball	29.6%	23.7%	23.8%	91.3	25.8%
Changeup	28.1%	37.6%	27%	83.4	30.8%
Sweeper	20.5%	22.2%	21.5%	81.6	25.3%
Sinker	14%	4.2%	15.8%	89.9	15.7%
Slider	6.7%	30.6%	24%	83.4	21%
Curveball	1.1%	50%	0%	72.7	32.1%

Green = a plus pitch for Ian Seymour (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Jake Burger (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Jake Burger handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
4-Seam Fastball	29.6%	44.4%	0.279	66.7%	0.320
Changeup	28.1%	29.9%	0.268	35.5%	0.320
Sweeper	20.5%	27.5%	0.389	39.5%	0.307
Sinker	14%	32.4%	0.410	43.9%	0.390
Slider	6.7%	46.7%	0.395	38.1%	0.276
Curveball	1.1%	--	--	42.9%	0.329

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