MLB hitter props

Xavier Edwards

vs Clay HolmesProjected lineup1:40 PM ET

HR probability

8.4%

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Season HR%

0.0%

Park factor

2.3

Analytics

Hits Snapshot

Market line

1.5

Selected line

Model projection

Expected hits

Hit rate

20%

2 of 10 overs

Average Hits

0.9

Last 10 games

Average margin

-0.6

Vs selected line

Current streak

UNDER

Stat color key

Colors compare each metric with its league-average baseline.

Elite25%+ above average

Above Average10–25% above

League AverageWithin 10%

Below Average10%+ below

Analytics

Hits, Bases & SB Props

Market	Projection	Line	Edge	Actual	Trend
Hits	1.0	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 4U streak
H+R+R	1.7	—	+0.0	—	50% (5/10)· 2U streak
Total Bases	1.2	—	+0.0	—	20% (2/10)· 4U streak
Stolen Bases	0.1	—	+0.0	—	10% (1/10)· 2U streak

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Analytics

Hits Ladder

1+ Hits

65.8%

2+ Hits

25.2%

3+ Hits

5.9%

4+ Hits

0.9%

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Analytics

Power & Contact Profile

Barrel%

0.5%

Hard Hit%

25.5%

Exit Velo

84.4 mph

EV90

99.5 mph

Sweet Spot%

34.1%

Fly Ball%

23.6%

xSLG

0.367

ISO

0.039

14.6%

Contact%

82.4%

Bat Speed

65.5 mph

Swing Length

6.27 ft

Platoon HR%

0.0%

Analytics

Matchup History vs Clay Holmes

View Clay Holmes's report →

Avg

0.273

Analytics

Opposing Pitcher — Clay Holmes

View Clay Holmes's report →

HR% Allowed

0.9%

Barrel% Allowed

4.8%

Hard Hit% Allowed

38.1%

xSLG Allowed

0.438

Fly Ball% Allowed

13.1%

HR/FB

9.1%

HR/9 (est.)

0.35

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Prop performance terminal

HITS RESULTS

Historical hits performance against the selected market line.

Select prop

Situation:

20% (2/10)· 4U streak

Hits Simulator

Move the line to instantly recalculate every result.

Active line

1.5

0.56

Over

Under

Push

Line 1.5Model 1

Aug 30

@ WSH

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Aug 29

@ WSH

UNDER

Hits

-1.5

Aug 28

@ WSH

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 26

vs BOS

UNDER

Hits

-0.5

Aug 25

vs BOS

OVER

Hits

+0.5

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Analytics

Facing Today

View Clay Holmes's report →

Pitch	Usage	Whiff%	Put-away%	Velo	Xavier Edwards's K% vs Pitch
Sinker	48.6%	7.3%	16%	92.3	14.5%
Sweeper	16.7%	12%	4%	80.4	21.3%
Cutter	16.5%	50%	36.4%	84.6	9.4%
Changeup	12.1%	31.8%	21.1%	87	12.7%
Curveball	4%	20%	16.7%	80	13.2%

Green = a plus pitch for Clay Holmes (Whiff%/Put-away% ≥30%/25%), or a real weakness for Xavier Edwards (K% vs Pitch ≥25%)Red = a below-average pitch for the pitcher (≤15%/12%), or one Xavier Edwards handles well (K% vs Pitch ≤12%)

Analytics

Vs. Pitcher's Arsenal (HR Model)

Pitch	Usage	P Hard Hit%	P wOBA	Batter Hard Hit%	Batter wOBA
Sinker	48.6%	50.9%	0.284	29.3%	0.373
Sweeper	16.7%	18.2%	0.283	16.7%	0.334
Cutter	16.5%	25%	0.197	36.8%	0.244
Changeup	12.1%	11.1%	0.138	20.6%	0.280
Curveball	4%	--	--	20.8%	0.221

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